La Liga·Etapa 28·
La Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
20%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,070,842,91sigur1,10–3,040,00–1,701,09–4,73mai sigur0,85–3,290,00–1,920,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,473,059,52sigur4,60–8,331,31–4,795,91–13,12mai sigur4,12–8,820,84–5,264,96–14,08
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,088,6826,76sigur14,16–22,015,12–12,2419,28–34,25mai sigur13,07–23,104,16–13,2017,23–36,30
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,375,7918,16sigur9,42–15,313,11–8,4712,53–23,78mai sigur8,59–16,142,37–9,2110,97–25,35
Șuturi blocate
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,182,007,19sigur3,30–7,070,35–3,663,65–10,72mai sigur2,76–7,610,00–4,152,62–11,76
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,693,3910,08sigur4,48–8,901,39–5,395,87–14,30mai sigur3,90–9,480,86–5,934,76–15,40
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,1140,01sigur53,32–66,9033,23–46,80mai sigur51,65–68,5731,56–48,47
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție570371941sigur503–637305–437807–1075mai sigur485–655287–455772–1110
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,2368,99sigur71,20–79,2664,66–73,31mai sigur69,91–80,5663,36–74,62
Faulturi
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0810,6720,75sigur7,24–12,927,73–13,6214,97–26,53mai sigur6,48–13,676,98–14,3713,46–28,04
Ofsaiduri
30%
18%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,724,80sigur0,91–3,231,63–3,822,54–7,05mai sigur0,61–3,531,34–4,101,95–7,64
Cartonașe galbene
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,933,30sigur0,32–2,420,80–3,061,12–5,47mai sigur0,05–2,680,51–3,350,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,184,266,44sigur0,74–3,622,70–5,823,45–9,43mai sigur0,36–4,002,28–6,242,64–10,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,07 1,10–3,04 0,85–3,29 | 0,84 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,92 | 2,91 1,09–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,47 4,60–8,33 4,12–8,82 | 3,05 1,31–4,79 0,84–5,26 | 9,52 5,91–13,12 4,96–14,08 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 18,08 14,16–22,01 13,07–23,10 | 8,68 5,12–12,24 4,16–13,20 | 26,76 19,28–34,25 17,23–36,30 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,37 9,42–15,31 8,59–16,14 | 5,79 3,11–8,47 2,37–9,21 | 18,16 12,53–23,78 10,97–25,35 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,18 3,30–7,07 2,76–7,61 | 2,00 0,35–3,66 0,00–4,15 | 7,19 3,65–10,72 2,62–11,76 | 85% |
| Cornere | 6,69 4,48–8,90 3,90–9,48 | 3,39 1,39–5,39 0,86–5,93 | 10,08 5,87–14,30 4,76–15,40 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 60,11 53,32–66,90 51,65–68,57 | 40,01 33,23–46,80 31,56–48,47 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 570 503–637 485–655 | 371 305–437 287–455 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,23 71,20–79,26 69,91–80,56 | 68,99 64,66–73,31 63,36–74,62 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 10,08 7,24–12,92 6,48–13,67 | 10,67 7,73–13,62 6,98–14,37 | 20,75 14,97–26,53 13,46–28,04 | 40% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 2,72 1,63–3,82 1,34–4,10 | 4,80 2,54–7,05 1,95–7,64 | 30% 18% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,05–2,68 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,30 1,12–5,47 0,56–6,03 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,18 0,74–3,62 0,36–4,00 | 4,26 2,70–5,82 2,28–6,24 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,24 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.