La Liga·Etapa 10·
La Liga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
26%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,462,68sigur0,26–2,200,60–2,310,86–4,51mai sigur0,01–2,450,37–2,540,38–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
13%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,974,828,79sigur2,11–5,833,07–6,565,18–12,39mai sigur1,62–6,322,61–7,034,23–13,35
Total șuturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4514,6126,06sigur7,53–15,3811,04–18,1718,57–33,55mai sigur6,44–16,4710,08–19,1316,52–35,60
Șuturi din careu
23%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,869,2616,12sigur3,92–9,806,58–11,9510,50–21,75mai sigur3,09–10,635,85–12,688,93–23,31
Șuturi blocate
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,163,676,83sigur1,28–5,042,01–5,323,29–10,36mai sigur0,74–5,591,52–5,812,26–11,40
Cornere
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,575,239,80sigur2,36–6,793,23–7,235,59–14,01mai sigur1,79–7,362,69–7,764,48–15,12
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,8449,18sigur45,05–58,6342,39–55,96mai sigur43,38–60,3040,72–57,63
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție448405853sigur380–515339–472719–987mai sigur362–533321–489684–1022
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,5569,92sigur62,52–70,5865,59–74,24mai sigur61,22–71,8764,28–75,55
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9715,1728,13sigur10,13–15,8012,22–18,1122,35–33,91mai sigur9,37–16,5611,47–18,8620,84–35,42
Ofsaiduri
15%
15%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,974,37sigur0,24–2,561,88–4,072,12–6,62mai sigur0,00–2,861,59–4,361,53–7,21
Cartonașe galbene
41%
19%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,452,434,88sigur1,40–3,501,30–3,562,71–7,06mai sigur1,13–3,771,01–3,852,15–7,62
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,120,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,300,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,302,625,92sigur1,86–4,731,06–4,182,93–8,91mai sigur1,47–5,120,64–4,602,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,26–2,20 0,01–2,45 | 1,46 0,60–2,31 0,37–2,54 | 2,68 0,86–4,51 0,38–4,99 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,97 2,11–5,83 1,62–6,32 | 4,82 3,07–6,56 2,61–7,03 | 8,79 5,18–12,39 4,23–13,35 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 11,45 7,53–15,38 6,44–16,47 | 14,61 11,04–18,17 10,08–19,13 | 26,06 18,57–33,55 16,52–35,60 | 24% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,86 3,92–9,80 3,09–10,63 | 9,26 6,58–11,95 5,85–12,68 | 16,12 10,50–21,75 8,93–23,31 | 23% 68% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,16 1,28–5,04 0,74–5,59 | 3,67 2,01–5,32 1,52–5,81 | 6,83 3,29–10,36 2,26–11,40 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,57 2,36–6,79 1,79–7,36 | 5,23 3,23–7,23 2,69–7,76 | 9,80 5,59–14,01 4,48–15,12 | 36% 52% |
| Posesie % | 51,84 45,05–58,63 43,38–60,30 | 49,18 42,39–55,96 40,72–57,63 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 448 380–515 362–533 | 405 339–472 321–489 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,55 62,52–70,58 61,22–71,87 | 69,92 65,59–74,24 64,28–75,55 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 12,97 10,13–15,80 9,37–16,56 | 15,17 12,22–18,11 11,47–18,86 | 28,13 22,35–33,91 20,84–35,42 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,40 0,24–2,56 0,00–2,86 | 2,97 1,88–4,07 1,59–4,36 | 4,37 2,12–6,62 1,53–7,21 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,45 1,40–3,50 1,13–3,77 | 2,43 1,30–3,56 1,01–3,85 | 4,88 2,71–7,06 2,15–7,62 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,86–4,73 1,47–5,12 | 2,62 1,06–4,18 0,64–4,60 | 5,92 2,93–8,91 2,11–9,72 | 53% 16% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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