La Liga·Etapa 27·
La Liga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
22%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,062,97sigur0,94–2,880,21–1,921,15–4,79mai sigur0,69–3,130,00–2,150,67–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,273,718,97sigur3,40–7,131,97–5,455,37–12,58mai sigur2,91–7,621,50–5,924,41–13,53
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1110,0626,18sigur12,19–20,046,50–13,6318,69–33,66mai sigur11,10–21,135,54–14,5816,64–35,71
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,926,2117,13sigur7,98–13,863,53–8,9011,51–22,76mai sigur7,15–14,692,80–9,639,94–24,32
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,522,336,85sigur2,64–6,400,68–3,983,32–10,39mai sigur2,10–6,950,19–4,482,28–11,42
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,423,6010,03sigur4,21–8,641,60–5,605,82–14,24mai sigur3,64–9,211,07–6,144,71–15,35
Posesie %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6447,67sigur44,85–58,4340,89–54,46mai sigur43,18–60,1039,22–56,13
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție458415873sigur391–525348–481739–1007mai sigur373–543331–499704–1042
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6469,76sigur63,62–71,6765,43–74,08mai sigur62,32–72,9764,13–75,39
Faulturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3112,8227,13sigur11,47–17,159,87–15,7621,34–32,91mai sigur10,72–17,909,12–16,5119,84–34,41
Ofsaiduri
67%
17%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,691,314,00sigur1,53–3,850,21–2,401,74–6,25mai sigur1,23–4,150,00–2,691,15–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,434,23sigur0,75–2,851,30–3,562,05–6,41mai sigur0,48–3,111,01–3,851,49–6,97
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,355,70sigur0,91–3,781,80–4,912,71–8,69mai sigur0,52–4,171,37–5,331,89–9,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,91 0,94–2,88 0,69–3,13 | 1,06 0,21–1,92 0,00–2,15 | 2,97 1,15–4,79 0,67–5,27 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,27 3,40–7,13 2,91–7,62 | 3,71 1,97–5,45 1,50–5,92 | 8,97 5,37–12,58 4,41–13,53 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,11 12,19–20,04 11,10–21,13 | 10,06 6,50–13,63 5,54–14,58 | 26,18 18,69–33,66 16,64–35,71 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,92 7,98–13,86 7,15–14,69 | 6,21 3,53–8,90 2,80–9,63 | 17,13 11,51–22,76 9,94–24,32 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,52 2,64–6,40 2,10–6,95 | 2,33 0,68–3,98 0,19–4,48 | 6,85 3,32–10,39 2,28–11,42 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,42 4,21–8,64 3,64–9,21 | 3,60 1,60–5,60 1,07–6,14 | 10,03 5,82–14,24 4,71–15,35 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 51,64 44,85–58,43 43,18–60,10 | 47,67 40,89–54,46 39,22–56,13 | — | 57% 38% |
| Pase | 458 391–525 373–543 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,64 63,62–71,67 62,32–72,97 | 69,76 65,43–74,08 64,13–75,39 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 14,31 11,47–17,15 10,72–17,90 | 12,82 9,87–15,76 9,12–16,51 | 27,13 21,34–32,91 19,84–34,41 | 58% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,69 1,53–3,85 1,23–4,15 | 1,31 0,21–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 4,00 1,74–6,25 1,15–6,84 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,48–3,11 | 2,43 1,30–3,56 1,01–3,85 | 4,23 2,05–6,41 1,49–6,97 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 3,35 1,80–4,91 1,37–5,33 | 5,70 2,71–8,69 1,89–9,50 | 26% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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