La Liga·Etapa 11·
La Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,003,034,04sigur0,04–1,972,18–3,892,21–5,86mai sigur0,00–2,221,95–4,111,73–6,34
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,557,4911,04sigur1,69–5,425,75–9,237,43–14,64mai sigur1,20–5,905,28–9,706,48–15,60
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6219,0929,70sigur6,69–14,5415,53–22,6522,22–37,19mai sigur5,60–15,6314,57–23,6120,17–39,24
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,3712,5418,91sigur3,43–9,319,86–15,2213,29–24,54mai sigur2,60–10,149,12–15,9611,72–26,10
Șuturi blocate
19%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,964,847,80sigur1,07–4,843,19–6,504,26–11,34mai sigur0,53–5,382,70–6,993,23–12,37
Cornere
18%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,896,3010,19sigur1,68–6,114,30–8,305,98–14,41mai sigur1,11–6,683,77–8,834,87–15,52
Posesie %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,6159,30sigur35,82–49,4052,52–66,09mai sigur34,15–51,0750,84–67,76
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420577997sigur353–487511–643863–1131mai sigur335–505493–661828–1166
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,3376,67sigur62,30–70,3672,35–81,00mai sigur61,01–71,6571,04–82,31
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0811,4324,52sigur10,25–15,928,49–14,3818,73–30,30mai sigur9,49–16,687,74–15,1317,23–31,80
Ofsaiduri
17%
16%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,563,024,58sigur0,40–2,721,93–4,112,33–6,84mai sigur0,10–3,021,64–4,401,74–7,43
Cartonașe galbene
57%
18%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,631,734,35sigur1,58–3,680,60–2,862,17–6,53mai sigur1,31–3,940,31–3,151,62–7,09
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,090,22sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,280,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,410,00–0,85
Parade portar
76%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,752,377,11sigur3,31–6,180,81–3,924,12–10,11mai sigur2,92–6,570,38–4,353,31–10,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,00 0,04–1,97 0,00–2,22 | 3,03 2,18–3,89 1,95–4,11 | 4,04 2,21–5,86 1,73–6,34 | 78% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,55 1,69–5,42 1,20–5,90 | 7,49 5,75–9,23 5,28–9,70 | 11,04 7,43–14,64 6,48–15,60 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 10,62 6,69–14,54 5,60–15,63 | 19,09 15,53–22,65 14,57–23,61 | 29,70 22,22–37,19 20,17–39,24 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,37 3,43–9,31 2,60–10,14 | 12,54 9,86–15,22 9,12–15,96 | 18,91 13,29–24,54 11,72–26,10 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,96 1,07–4,84 0,53–5,38 | 4,84 3,19–6,50 2,70–6,99 | 7,80 4,26–11,34 3,23–12,37 | 19% 69% |
| Cornere | 3,89 1,68–6,11 1,11–6,68 | 6,30 4,30–8,30 3,77–8,83 | 10,19 5,98–14,41 4,87–15,52 | 18% 73% |
| Posesie % | 42,61 35,82–49,40 34,15–51,07 | 59,30 52,52–66,09 50,84–67,76 | — | 15% 82% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 335–505 | 577 511–643 493–661 | 997 863–1131 828–1166 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,33 62,30–70,36 61,01–71,65 | 76,67 72,35–81,00 71,04–82,31 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 13,08 10,25–15,92 9,49–16,68 | 11,43 8,49–14,38 7,74–15,13 | 24,52 18,73–30,30 17,23–31,80 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 3,02 1,93–4,11 1,64–4,40 | 4,58 2,33–6,84 1,74–7,43 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,63 1,58–3,68 1,31–3,94 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 4,35 2,17–6,53 1,62–7,09 | 57% 18% 25% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 4,75 3,31–6,18 2,92–6,57 | 2,37 0,81–3,92 0,38–4,35 | 7,11 4,12–10,11 3,31–10,92 | 76% 13% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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