La Liga·Etapa 36·
La Liga·Etapa 36·Statistici estimate
Goluri
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,380,934,31sigur2,41–4,350,08–1,792,49–6,13mai sigur2,16–4,600,00–2,012,01–6,61
Șuturi pe poartă
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,963,5112,48sigur7,10–10,831,77–5,268,87–16,08mai sigur6,61–11,321,31–5,727,92–17,04
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție22,179,4831,65sigur18,25–26,105,92–13,0424,17–39,14mai sigur17,16–27,194,96–14,0022,11–41,19
Șuturi din careu
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,155,7620,91sigur12,21–18,093,08–8,4415,29–26,54mai sigur11,38–18,922,34–9,1813,72–28,10
Șuturi blocate
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,551,987,53sigur3,67–7,440,33–3,634,00–11,07mai sigur3,13–7,980,00–4,122,96–12,10
Cornere
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,473,0811,54sigur6,25–10,681,08–5,087,33–15,76mai sigur5,68–11,250,54–5,616,22–16,86
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,3940,58sigur52,60–66,1833,80–47,37mai sigur50,93–67,8532,13–49,04
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6124171029sigur544–679351–484895–1162mai sigur526–697333–501859–1198
Precizie pase %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,4271,11sigur72,39–80,4566,79–75,44mai sigur71,10–81,7465,48–76,75
Faulturi
35%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5611,8422,40sigur7,72–13,408,89–14,7816,61–28,18mai sigur6,97–14,158,14–15,5315,11–29,68
Ofsaiduri
66%
16%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,031,654,68sigur1,87–4,190,55–2,742,43–6,93mai sigur1,57–4,490,27–3,031,84–7,52
Cartonașe galbene
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,893,15sigur0,21–2,310,76–3,020,97–5,33mai sigur0,00–2,580,47–3,310,42–5,89
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,205,427,62sigur0,76–3,633,87–6,984,63–10,61mai sigur0,37–4,023,44–7,403,81–11,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,38 2,41–4,35 2,16–4,60 | 0,93 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,01 | 4,31 2,49–6,13 2,01–6,61 | 83% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,96 7,10–10,83 6,61–11,32 | 3,51 1,77–5,26 1,31–5,72 | 12,48 8,87–16,08 7,92–17,04 | 92% |
| Total șuturi | 22,17 18,25–26,10 17,16–27,19 | 9,48 5,92–13,04 4,96–14,00 | 31,65 24,17–39,14 22,11–41,19 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 15,15 12,21–18,09 11,38–18,92 | 5,76 3,08–8,44 2,34–9,18 | 20,91 15,29–26,54 13,72–28,10 | 98% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,55 3,67–7,44 3,13–7,98 | 1,98 0,33–3,63 0,00–4,12 | 7,53 4,00–11,07 2,96–12,10 | 87% |
| Cornere | 8,47 6,25–10,68 5,68–11,25 | 3,08 1,08–5,08 0,54–5,61 | 11,54 7,33–15,76 6,22–16,86 | 93% |
| Posesie % | 59,39 52,60–66,18 50,93–67,85 | 40,58 33,80–47,37 32,13–49,04 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 612 544–679 526–697 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 1029 895–1162 859–1198 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,42 72,39–80,45 71,10–81,74 | 71,11 66,79–75,44 65,48–76,75 | — | 73% 23% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,72–13,40 6,97–14,15 | 11,84 8,89–14,78 8,14–15,53 | 22,40 16,61–28,18 15,11–29,68 | 35% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,03 1,87–4,19 1,57–4,49 | 1,65 0,55–2,74 0,27–3,03 | 4,68 2,43–6,93 1,84–7,52 | 66% 16% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,26 0,21–2,31 0,00–2,58 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,15 0,97–5,33 0,42–5,89 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,20 0,76–3,63 0,37–4,02 | 5,42 3,87–6,98 3,44–7,40 | 7,62 4,63–10,61 3,81–11,42 | 84% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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