La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,783,11sigur0,36–2,300,93–2,641,29–4,93mai sigur0,11–2,550,70–2,870,81–5,41
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,535,369,90sigur2,67–6,393,62–7,116,29–13,50mai sigur2,18–6,883,16–7,575,33–14,46
Total șuturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0114,7726,79sigur8,09–15,9411,21–18,3419,30–34,27mai sigur7,00–17,0310,25–19,3017,25–36,33
Șuturi din careu
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,449,7518,19sigur5,50–11,387,07–12,4312,57–23,82mai sigur4,67–12,216,34–13,1711,00–25,38
Șuturi blocate
25%
14%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,954,197,14sigur1,07–4,832,54–5,853,61–10,68mai sigur0,53–5,382,05–6,342,57–11,71
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,425,319,73sigur2,21–6,633,31–7,315,52–13,95mai sigur1,63–7,212,78–7,854,41–15,05
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție34,2365,68sigur27,44–41,0258,89–72,46mai sigur25,77–42,6957,22–74,13
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3636601022sigur296–430593–726889–1156mai sigur277–448576–744853–1192
Precizie pase %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,3183,52sigur63,29–71,3479,20–87,85mai sigur61,99–72,6477,89–89,16
Faulturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,619,7721,38sigur8,77–14,456,82–12,7115,59–27,16mai sigur8,02–15,206,07–13,4614,09–28,66
Ofsaiduri
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,361,656,01sigur3,20–5,520,55–2,743,75–8,26mai sigur2,90–5,820,27–3,033,16–8,85
Cartonașe galbene
43%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,763,71sigur0,90–2,990,63–2,891,53–5,89mai sigur0,63–3,260,34–3,180,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,302,916,21sigur1,86–4,741,35–4,463,21–9,20mai sigur1,48–5,120,92–4,892,40–10,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,78 0,93–2,64 0,70–2,87 | 3,11 1,29–4,93 0,81–5,41 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,53 2,67–6,39 2,18–6,88 | 5,36 3,62–7,11 3,16–7,57 | 9,90 6,29–13,50 5,33–14,46 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 12,01 8,09–15,94 7,00–17,03 | 14,77 11,21–18,34 10,25–19,30 | 26,79 19,30–34,27 17,25–36,33 | 26% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,44 5,50–11,38 4,67–12,21 | 9,75 7,07–12,43 6,34–13,17 | 18,19 12,57–23,82 11,00–25,38 | 33% 58% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,95 1,07–4,83 0,53–5,38 | 4,19 2,54–5,85 2,05–6,34 | 7,14 3,61–10,68 2,57–11,71 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Cornere | 4,42 2,21–6,63 1,63–7,21 | 5,31 3,31–7,31 2,78–7,85 | 9,73 5,52–13,95 4,41–15,05 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 34,23 27,44–41,02 25,77–42,69 | 65,68 58,89–72,46 57,22–74,13 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 363 296–430 277–448 | 660 593–726 576–744 | 1022 889–1156 853–1192 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,31 63,29–71,34 61,99–72,64 | 83,52 79,20–87,85 77,89–89,16 | — | 98% |
| Faulturi | 11,61 8,77–14,45 8,02–15,20 | 9,77 6,82–12,71 6,07–13,46 | 21,38 15,59–27,16 14,09–28,66 | 61% 31% |
| Ofsaiduri | 4,36 3,20–5,52 2,90–5,82 | 1,65 0,55–2,74 0,27–3,03 | 6,01 3,75–8,26 3,16–8,85 | 82% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,95 0,90–2,99 0,63–3,26 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,71 1,53–5,89 0,97–6,44 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,86–4,74 1,48–5,12 | 2,91 1,35–4,46 0,92–4,89 | 6,21 3,21–9,20 2,40–10,01 | 48% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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