La Liga·Etapa 23·
La Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
17%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,491,083,58sigur1,52–3,460,23–1,941,75–5,40mai sigur1,27–3,710,00–2,171,27–5,88
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,703,5810,27sigur4,84–8,561,83–5,326,67–13,88mai sigur4,35–9,051,37–5,785,71–14,83
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,288,6525,93sigur13,36–21,215,08–12,2118,44–33,42mai sigur12,27–22,304,12–13,1716,39–35,47
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,806,2518,05sigur8,86–14,743,56–8,9312,42–23,67mai sigur8,03–15,572,83–9,6610,86–25,24
Șuturi blocate
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,352,126,47sigur2,47–6,230,46–3,772,93–10,00mai sigur1,93–6,780,00–4,261,90–11,04
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,573,229,79sigur4,36–8,781,22–5,225,58–14,00mai sigur3,78–9,360,69–5,754,47–15,11
Posesie %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0532,21sigur61,26–74,8425,43–39,00mai sigur59,59–76,5123,75–40,67
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7123551067sigur645–780289–421934–1201mai sigur627–798271–439898–1237
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,8171,97sigur76,78–84,8467,65–76,29mai sigur75,49–86,1466,34–77,60
Faulturi
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5811,8721,45sigur6,74–12,418,92–14,8115,66–27,23mai sigur5,98–13,178,17–15,5614,16–28,73
Ofsaiduri
17%
14%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,943,665,59sigur0,78–3,102,56–4,753,34–7,84mai sigur0,47–3,402,27–5,042,75–8,43
Cartonașe galbene
27%
20%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,243,80sigur0,52–2,621,11–3,371,63–5,98mai sigur0,25–2,880,82–3,661,07–6,54
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,374,216,58sigur0,93–3,802,65–5,773,59–9,57mai sigur0,55–4,192,23–6,192,78–10,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,49 1,52–3,46 1,27–3,71 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 3,58 1,75–5,40 1,27–5,88 | 68% 17% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,70 4,84–8,56 4,35–9,05 | 3,58 1,83–5,32 1,37–5,78 | 10,27 6,67–13,88 5,71–14,83 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 17,28 13,36–21,21 12,27–22,30 | 8,65 5,08–12,21 4,12–13,17 | 25,93 18,44–33,42 16,39–35,47 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,80 8,86–14,74 8,03–15,57 | 6,25 3,56–8,93 2,83–9,66 | 18,05 12,42–23,67 10,86–25,24 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,35 2,47–6,23 1,93–6,78 | 2,12 0,46–3,77 0,00–4,26 | 6,47 2,93–10,00 1,90–11,04 | 75% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,57 4,36–8,78 3,78–9,36 | 3,22 1,22–5,22 0,69–5,75 | 9,79 5,58–14,00 4,47–15,11 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 68,05 61,26–74,84 59,59–76,51 | 32,21 25,43–39,00 23,75–40,67 | — | 98% |
| Pase | 712 645–780 627–798 | 355 289–421 271–439 | 1067 934–1201 898–1237 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,81 76,78–84,84 75,49–86,14 | 71,97 67,65–76,29 66,34–77,60 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 9,58 6,74–12,41 5,98–13,17 | 11,87 8,92–14,81 8,17–15,56 | 21,45 15,66–27,23 14,16–28,73 | 27% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,47–3,40 | 3,66 2,56–4,75 2,27–5,04 | 5,59 3,34–7,84 2,75–8,43 | 17% 14% 70% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,25–2,88 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 3,80 1,63–5,98 1,07–6,54 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,37 0,93–3,80 0,55–4,19 | 4,21 2,65–5,77 2,23–6,19 | 6,58 3,59–9,57 2,78–10,38 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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