La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
59%
23%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,800,902,70sigur0,83–2,770,05–1,760,88–4,53mai sigur0,58–3,020,00–1,990,40–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,573,579,14sigur3,71–7,441,83–5,315,54–12,75mai sigur3,22–7,921,36–5,784,58–13,70
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9110,5326,45sigur11,99–19,846,97–14,0918,96–33,93mai sigur10,90–20,936,01–15,0516,91–35,98
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,886,9216,80sigur6,94–12,824,24–9,6011,18–22,43mai sigur6,11–13,653,50–10,349,61–23,99
Șuturi blocate
62%
13%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,282,937,21sigur2,40–6,161,28–4,583,68–10,75mai sigur1,86–6,710,78–5,082,64–11,78
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,153,809,95sigur3,94–8,361,80–5,805,73–14,16mai sigur3,36–8,941,26–6,334,63–15,27
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,6841,88sigur51,89–65,4735,09–48,66mai sigur50,22–67,1433,42–50,33
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție549399948sigur482–616332–465814–1081mai sigur464–634315–483778–1117
Precizie pase %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,0670,37sigur70,03–78,0966,05–74,69mai sigur68,74–79,3864,74–76,00
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7311,5723,30sigur8,89–14,578,63–14,5217,52–29,08mai sigur8,14–15,327,88–15,2616,02–30,59
Ofsaiduri
65%
18%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,441,183,63sigur1,28–3,600,09–2,281,37–5,88mai sigur0,98–3,900,00–2,570,78–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,053,89sigur0,80–2,890,92–3,171,71–6,07mai sigur0,53–3,160,63–3,471,15–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,643,646,28sigur1,21–4,082,08–5,193,29–9,27mai sigur0,82–4,471,65–5,622,47–10,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,80 0,83–2,77 0,58–3,02 | 0,90 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 2,70 0,88–4,53 0,40–5,01 | 59% 23% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,57 3,71–7,44 3,22–7,92 | 3,57 1,83–5,31 1,36–5,78 | 9,14 5,54–12,75 4,58–13,70 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 15,91 11,99–19,84 10,90–20,93 | 10,53 6,97–14,09 6,01–15,05 | 26,45 18,96–33,93 16,91–35,98 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,88 6,94–12,82 6,11–13,65 | 6,92 4,24–9,60 3,50–10,34 | 16,80 11,18–22,43 9,61–23,99 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,28 2,40–6,16 1,86–6,71 | 2,93 1,28–4,58 0,78–5,08 | 7,21 3,68–10,75 2,64–11,78 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,15 3,94–8,36 3,36–8,94 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,26–6,33 | 9,95 5,73–14,16 4,63–15,27 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 58,68 51,89–65,47 50,22–67,14 | 41,88 35,09–48,66 33,42–50,33 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 549 482–616 464–634 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,06 70,03–78,09 68,74–79,38 | 70,37 66,05–74,69 64,74–76,00 | — | 66% 29% |
| Faulturi | 11,73 8,89–14,57 8,14–15,32 | 11,57 8,63–14,52 7,88–15,26 | 23,30 17,52–29,08 16,02–30,59 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,44 1,28–3,60 0,98–3,90 | 1,18 0,09–2,28 0,00–2,57 | 3,63 1,37–5,88 0,78–6,47 | 65% 18% 17% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,89 0,53–3,16 | 2,05 0,92–3,17 0,63–3,47 | 3,89 1,71–6,07 1,15–6,63 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,64 1,21–4,08 0,82–4,47 | 3,64 2,08–5,19 1,65–5,62 | 6,28 3,29–9,27 2,47–10,08 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.