La Liga·Etapa 38·
La Liga·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
22%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,111,882,98sigur0,14–2,071,02–2,731,16–4,80mai sigur0,00–2,320,79–2,960,68–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,795,419,20sigur1,93–5,653,67–7,155,59–12,80mai sigur1,44–6,143,20–7,624,64–13,76
Total șuturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1613,6925,85sigur8,23–16,0810,13–17,2518,36–33,33mai sigur7,14–17,179,17–18,2116,31–35,39
Șuturi din careu
26%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,828,8015,62sigur3,87–9,766,12–11,489,99–21,24mai sigur3,05–10,595,38–12,228,43–22,81
Șuturi blocate
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,383,326,70sigur1,50–5,261,67–4,983,17–10,24mai sigur0,95–5,801,18–5,472,13–11,27
Cornere
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,515,189,69sigur2,29–6,723,18–7,185,48–13,90mai sigur1,72–7,292,65–7,724,37–15,01
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,4356,02sigur37,64–51,2249,24–62,81mai sigur35,97–52,8947,57–64,48
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție425498923sigur358–492432–565790–1057mai sigur340–511414–582754–1093
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6375,02sigur64,60–72,6670,69–79,34mai sigur63,31–73,9569,38–80,65
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0012,2223,22sigur8,16–13,849,27–15,1617,44–29,00mai sigur7,41–14,598,52–15,9115,93–30,50
Ofsaiduri
20%
18%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,412,523,92sigur0,25–2,571,42–3,611,67–6,18mai sigur0,00–2,871,13–3,901,08–6,77
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,762,043,80sigur0,71–2,810,91–3,171,63–5,98mai sigur0,45–3,080,62–3,461,07–6,54
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
55%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,372,565,93sigur1,94–4,811,00–4,112,94–8,92mai sigur1,55–5,200,58–4,542,12–9,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,11 0,14–2,07 0,00–2,32 | 1,88 1,02–2,73 0,79–2,96 | 2,98 1,16–4,80 0,68–5,28 | 22% 22% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,79 1,93–5,65 1,44–6,14 | 5,41 3,67–7,15 3,20–7,62 | 9,20 5,59–12,80 4,64–13,76 | 24% 64% |
| Total șuturi | 12,16 8,23–16,08 7,14–17,17 | 13,69 10,13–17,25 9,17–18,21 | 25,85 18,36–33,33 16,31–35,39 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,82 3,87–9,76 3,05–10,59 | 8,80 6,12–11,48 5,38–12,22 | 15,62 9,99–21,24 8,43–22,81 | 26% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,50–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 3,32 1,67–4,98 1,18–5,47 | 6,70 3,17–10,24 2,13–11,27 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,51 2,29–6,72 1,72–7,29 | 5,18 3,18–7,18 2,65–7,72 | 9,69 5,48–13,90 4,37–15,01 | 35% 52% |
| Posesie % | 44,43 37,64–51,22 35,97–52,89 | 56,02 49,24–62,81 47,57–64,48 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 425 358–492 340–511 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,63 64,60–72,66 63,31–73,95 | 75,02 70,69–79,34 69,38–80,65 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 11,00 8,16–13,84 7,41–14,59 | 12,22 9,27–15,16 8,52–15,91 | 23,22 17,44–29,00 15,93–30,50 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,41 0,25–2,57 0,00–2,87 | 2,52 1,42–3,61 1,13–3,90 | 3,92 1,67–6,18 1,08–6,77 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,71–2,81 0,45–3,08 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,80 1,63–5,98 1,07–6,54 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,37 1,94–4,81 1,55–5,20 | 2,56 1,00–4,11 0,58–4,54 | 5,93 2,94–8,92 2,12–9,73 | 55% 16% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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