La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
23%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,762,91sigur0,18–2,120,91–2,621,09–4,73mai sigur0,00–2,370,68–2,850,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,045,549,57sigur2,17–5,903,80–7,285,97–13,18mai sigur1,68–6,393,33–7,755,01–14,13
Total șuturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8213,8726,69sigur8,89–16,7410,31–17,4419,20–34,18mai sigur7,80–17,839,35–18,3917,15–36,23
Șuturi din careu
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,4710,1117,58sigur4,53–10,417,43–12,7911,96–23,20mai sigur3,70–11,246,69–13,5310,39–24,77
Șuturi blocate
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,143,546,67sigur1,25–5,021,88–5,193,14–10,21mai sigur0,71–5,561,39–5,682,10–11,24
Cornere
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,859,42sigur2,36–6,782,85–6,855,21–13,63mai sigur1,78–7,362,31–7,384,10–14,74
Posesie %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1253,82sigur40,33–53,9247,04–60,61mai sigur38,66–55,5845,37–62,28
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție443505948sigur376–510439–572815–1082mai sigur357–528421–589779–1118
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8473,05sigur61,81–69,8768,72–77,37mai sigur60,52–71,1767,42–78,68
Faulturi
54%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6712,6926,36sigur10,83–16,509,75–15,6420,58–32,14mai sigur10,07–17,269,00–16,3919,07–33,65
Ofsaiduri
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,115,69sigur1,42–3,742,02–4,213,44–7,95mai sigur1,12–4,041,73–4,492,85–8,54
Cartonașe galbene
43%
19%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,482,354,84sigur1,44–3,531,22–3,482,66–7,01mai sigur1,17–3,800,93–3,772,10–7,57
Cartonașe roșii
13%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,160,130,29sigur0,00–0,320,00–0,320,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,470,00–0,450,00–0,92
Parade portar
53%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,652,926,57sigur2,21–5,081,37–4,483,58–9,57mai sigur1,83–5,470,94–4,912,77–10,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,18–2,12 0,00–2,37 | 1,76 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 2,91 1,09–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,04 2,17–5,90 1,68–6,39 | 5,54 3,80–7,28 3,33–7,75 | 9,57 5,97–13,18 5,01–14,13 | 26% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 12,82 8,89–16,74 7,80–17,83 | 13,87 10,31–17,44 9,35–18,39 | 26,69 19,20–34,18 17,15–36,23 | 38% 54% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,47 4,53–10,41 3,70–11,24 | 10,11 7,43–12,79 6,69–13,53 | 17,58 11,96–23,20 10,39–24,77 | 23% 70% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,14 1,25–5,02 0,71–5,56 | 3,54 1,88–5,19 1,39–5,68 | 6,67 3,14–10,21 2,10–11,24 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,57 2,36–6,78 1,78–7,36 | 4,85 2,85–6,85 2,31–7,38 | 9,42 5,21–13,63 4,10–14,74 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Posesie % | 47,12 40,33–53,92 38,66–55,58 | 53,82 47,04–60,61 45,37–62,28 | — | 32% 63% |
| Pase | 443 376–510 357–528 | 505 439–572 421–589 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,84 61,81–69,87 60,52–71,17 | 73,05 68,72–77,37 67,42–78,68 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 13,67 10,83–16,50 10,07–17,26 | 12,69 9,75–15,64 9,00–16,39 | 26,36 20,58–32,14 19,07–33,65 | 54% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,58 1,42–3,74 1,12–4,04 | 3,11 2,02–4,21 1,73–4,49 | 5,69 3,44–7,95 2,85–8,54 | 33% 17% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,48 1,44–3,53 1,17–3,80 | 2,35 1,22–3,48 0,93–3,77 | 4,84 2,66–7,01 2,10–7,57 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,16 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,47 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 13% 76% |
| Parade portar | 3,65 2,21–5,08 1,83–5,47 | 2,92 1,37–4,48 0,94–4,91 | 6,57 3,58–9,57 2,77–10,38 | 53% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.