La Liga·Etapa 22·
La Liga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
17%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,420,973,39sigur1,45–3,390,12–1,831,57–5,21mai sigur1,20–3,640,00–2,061,09–5,69
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,723,3410,07sigur4,86–8,591,60–5,086,46–13,67mai sigur4,37–9,081,13–5,555,51–14,63
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,669,6427,30sigur13,73–21,586,07–13,2019,81–34,78mai sigur12,64–22,675,12–14,1617,76–36,83
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,796,3018,09sigur8,85–14,733,62–8,9812,46–23,71mai sigur8,02–15,562,88–9,7110,90–25,28
Șuturi blocate
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,742,447,19sigur2,86–6,630,79–4,103,65–10,72mai sigur2,32–7,170,30–4,592,62–11,76
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,653,4710,12sigur4,44–8,871,47–5,475,91–14,34mai sigur3,86–9,440,94–6,004,80–15,44
Posesie %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,1144,19sigur49,32–62,9037,41–50,98mai sigur47,65–64,5735,74–52,65
Pase
87%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție555421976sigur487–622354–487842–1109mai sigur469–640337–505806–1145
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,2470,83sigur69,21–77,2766,51–75,16mai sigur67,92–78,5665,20–76,47
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9813,5525,52sigur9,14–14,8110,60–16,4919,74–31,31mai sigur8,38–15,579,86–17,2418,24–32,81
Ofsaiduri
45%
18%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,812,585,39sigur1,65–3,971,49–3,683,14–7,64mai sigur1,34–4,271,20–3,972,55–8,23
Cartonașe galbene
26%
18%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,674,53sigur0,81–2,911,54–3,802,35–6,71mai sigur0,54–3,171,25–4,091,79–7,26
Cartonașe roșii
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,150,23sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,340,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,470,00–0,86
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,304,326,62sigur0,87–3,742,76–5,883,63–9,61mai sigur0,48–4,132,34–6,302,82–10,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,42 1,45–3,39 1,20–3,64 | 0,97 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 3,39 1,57–5,21 1,09–5,69 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,72 4,86–8,59 4,37–9,08 | 3,34 1,60–5,08 1,13–5,55 | 10,07 6,46–13,67 5,51–14,63 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 17,66 13,73–21,58 12,64–22,67 | 9,64 6,07–13,20 5,12–14,16 | 27,30 19,81–34,78 17,76–36,83 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,79 8,85–14,73 8,02–15,56 | 6,30 3,62–8,98 2,88–9,71 | 18,09 12,46–23,71 10,90–25,28 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,74 2,86–6,63 2,32–7,17 | 2,44 0,79–4,10 0,30–4,59 | 7,19 3,65–10,72 2,62–11,76 | 75% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,65 4,44–8,87 3,86–9,44 | 3,47 1,47–5,47 0,94–6,00 | 10,12 5,91–14,34 4,80–15,44 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 56,11 49,32–62,90 47,65–64,57 | 44,19 37,41–50,98 35,74–52,65 | — | 74% 22% |
| Pase | 555 487–622 469–640 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 87% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,24 69,21–77,27 67,92–78,56 | 70,83 66,51–75,16 65,20–76,47 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 11,98 9,14–14,81 8,38–15,57 | 13,55 10,60–16,49 9,86–17,24 | 25,52 19,74–31,31 18,24–32,81 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,81 1,65–3,97 1,34–4,27 | 2,58 1,49–3,68 1,20–3,97 | 5,39 3,14–7,64 2,55–8,23 | 45% 18% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,17 | 2,67 1,54–3,80 1,25–4,09 | 4,53 2,35–6,71 1,79–7,26 | 26% 18% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% 13% |
| Parade portar | 2,30 0,87–3,74 0,48–4,13 | 4,32 2,76–5,88 2,34–6,30 | 6,62 3,63–9,61 2,82–10,43 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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