La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,563,12sigur0,59–2,520,71–2,421,29–4,94mai sigur0,34–2,780,48–2,640,82–5,42
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,064,489,55sigur3,20–6,932,74–6,225,94–13,15mai sigur2,71–7,422,27–6,694,99–14,11
Total șuturi
67%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8412,1026,94sigur10,91–18,768,54–15,6719,45–34,43mai sigur9,82–19,857,58–16,6317,40–36,48
Șuturi din careu
57%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,217,9817,19sigur6,27–12,165,30–10,6611,57–22,82mai sigur5,44–12,984,56–11,4010,00–24,38
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,636,19sigur1,68–5,440,98–4,282,65–9,72mai sigur1,13–5,980,49–4,781,62–10,76
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,024,5110,53sigur3,81–8,232,51–6,516,32–14,75mai sigur3,23–8,811,98–7,055,21–15,86
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,0248,16sigur44,23–57,8141,37–54,94mai sigur42,56–59,4839,70–56,61
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție478434912sigur411–545368–501778–1046mai sigur392–563350–518743–1081
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5670,24sigur64,53–72,5965,92–74,56mai sigur63,24–73,8964,61–75,87
Faulturi
62%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4611,3824,83sigur10,62–16,298,43–14,3219,05–30,62mai sigur9,86–17,057,69–15,0717,55–32,12
Ofsaiduri
50%
19%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,572,034,60sigur1,41–3,730,94–3,122,35–6,86mai sigur1,11–4,030,65–3,411,76–7,45
Cartonașe galbene
38%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,134,17sigur0,98–3,081,01–3,261,99–6,34mai sigur0,72–3,350,71–3,551,43–6,90
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,276,11sigur1,40–4,281,72–4,833,12–9,10mai sigur1,02–4,661,29–5,252,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,56 0,59–2,52 0,34–2,78 | 1,56 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,64 | 3,12 1,29–4,94 0,82–5,42 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,06 3,20–6,93 2,71–7,42 | 4,48 2,74–6,22 2,27–6,69 | 9,55 5,94–13,15 4,99–14,11 | 51% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 14,84 10,91–18,76 9,82–19,85 | 12,10 8,54–15,67 7,58–16,63 | 26,94 19,45–34,43 17,40–36,48 | 67% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,21 6,27–12,16 5,44–12,98 | 7,98 5,30–10,66 4,56–11,40 | 17,19 11,57–22,82 10,00–24,38 | 57% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,68–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 2,63 0,98–4,28 0,49–4,78 | 6,19 2,65–9,72 1,62–10,76 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 6,02 3,81–8,23 3,23–8,81 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,05 | 10,53 6,32–14,75 5,21–15,86 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 51,02 44,23–57,81 42,56–59,48 | 48,16 41,37–54,94 39,70–56,61 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 478 411–545 392–563 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,56 64,53–72,59 63,24–73,89 | 70,24 65,92–74,56 64,61–75,87 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 13,46 10,62–16,29 9,86–17,05 | 11,38 8,43–14,32 7,69–15,07 | 24,83 19,05–30,62 17,55–32,12 | 62% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,57 1,41–3,73 1,11–4,03 | 2,03 0,94–3,12 0,65–3,41 | 4,60 2,35–6,86 1,76–7,45 | 50% 19% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,72–3,35 | 2,13 1,01–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 4,17 1,99–6,34 1,43–6,90 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,40–4,28 1,02–4,66 | 3,27 1,72–4,83 1,29–5,25 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,31–9,92 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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