La Liga·Etapa 33·
La Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,282,98sigur0,73–2,660,43–2,141,15–4,80mai sigur0,48–2,910,20–2,360,67–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
13%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,904,529,42sigur3,03–6,762,78–6,265,81–13,02mai sigur2,55–7,252,31–6,734,86–13,98
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3913,2726,66sigur9,46–17,319,71–16,8419,17–34,15mai sigur8,37–18,408,75–17,8017,12–36,20
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,978,4017,38sigur6,03–11,915,72–11,0911,75–23,00mai sigur5,20–12,744,99–11,8210,19–24,57
Șuturi blocate
41%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,587,09sigur1,63–5,391,92–5,233,55–10,62mai sigur1,08–5,941,43–5,722,52–11,66
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,075,2810,35sigur2,85–7,283,28–7,286,13–14,56mai sigur2,28–7,852,75–7,815,03–15,67
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6149,56sigur44,82–58,4042,78–56,35mai sigur43,15–60,0741,11–58,02
Pase
60%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485454939sigur418–552387–520805–1073mai sigur400–570370–538770–1108
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6171,47sigur64,58–72,6467,15–75,80mai sigur63,28–73,9365,84–77,10
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6713,8226,50sigur9,84–15,5110,88–16,7720,71–32,28mai sigur9,08–16,2710,13–17,5219,21–33,78
Ofsaiduri
28%
18%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,892,634,52sigur0,73–3,051,53–3,722,26–6,77mai sigur0,43–3,351,24–4,011,68–7,36
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,544,46sigur0,87–2,971,41–3,672,28–6,64mai sigur0,61–3,241,12–3,961,72–7,19
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,243,176,41sigur1,80–4,681,62–4,733,42–9,41mai sigur1,42–5,061,19–5,152,61–10,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,69 0,73–2,66 0,48–2,91 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,36 | 2,98 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,28 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,90 3,03–6,76 2,55–7,25 | 4,52 2,78–6,26 2,31–6,73 | 9,42 5,81–13,02 4,86–13,98 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 13,39 9,46–17,31 8,37–18,40 | 13,27 9,71–16,84 8,75–17,80 | 26,66 19,17–34,15 17,12–36,20 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,97 6,03–11,91 5,20–12,74 | 8,40 5,72–11,09 4,99–11,82 | 17,38 11,75–23,00 10,19–24,57 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,39 1,08–5,94 | 3,58 1,92–5,23 1,43–5,72 | 7,09 3,55–10,62 2,52–11,66 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,07 2,85–7,28 2,28–7,85 | 5,28 3,28–7,28 2,75–7,81 | 10,35 6,13–14,56 5,03–15,67 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 51,61 44,82–58,40 43,15–60,07 | 49,56 42,78–56,35 41,11–58,02 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 485 418–552 400–570 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 60% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,61 64,58–72,64 63,28–73,93 | 71,47 67,15–75,80 65,84–77,10 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 12,67 9,84–15,51 9,08–16,27 | 13,82 10,88–16,77 10,13–17,52 | 26,50 20,71–32,28 19,21–33,78 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,43–3,35 | 2,63 1,53–3,72 1,24–4,01 | 4,52 2,26–6,77 1,68–7,36 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,61–3,24 | 2,54 1,41–3,67 1,12–3,96 | 4,46 2,28–6,64 1,72–7,19 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,24 1,80–4,68 1,42–5,06 | 3,17 1,62–4,73 1,19–5,15 | 6,41 3,42–9,41 2,61–10,22 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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