La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
25%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,392,91sigur0,56–2,500,53–2,241,09–4,74mai sigur0,31–2,750,30–2,470,61–5,22
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,794,719,50sigur2,92–6,652,97–6,455,89–13,10mai sigur2,44–7,142,50–6,924,94–14,06
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,6013,8829,47sigur11,67–19,5210,31–17,4421,99–36,96mai sigur10,58–20,619,35–18,4019,94–39,01
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,438,4017,82sigur6,48–12,375,72–11,0812,20–23,45mai sigur5,65–13,204,98–11,8210,63–25,01
Șuturi blocate
55%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,633,788,41sigur2,75–6,512,12–5,434,87–11,94mai sigur2,20–7,061,63–5,923,84–12,98
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,254,8011,05sigur4,04–8,472,80–6,806,84–15,27mai sigur3,47–9,042,27–7,335,73–16,37
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7647,51sigur45,97–59,5540,72–54,29mai sigur44,30–61,2239,05–55,96
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție477415892sigur410–544349–482759–1026mai sigur392–562331–499723–1062
Precizie pase %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,6367,34sigur58,60–66,6663,02–71,66mai sigur57,31–67,9561,71–72,97
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2112,0422,25sigur7,37–13,049,10–14,9916,47–28,03mai sigur6,61–13,808,35–15,7314,96–29,53
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,783,63sigur0,69–3,010,69–2,881,38–5,89mai sigur0,39–3,310,40–3,170,79–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,622,213,83sigur0,57–2,671,08–3,341,65–6,00mai sigur0,30–2,930,79–3,631,09–6,56
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,256,08sigur1,39–4,261,70–4,813,09–9,07mai sigur1,00–4,651,27–5,232,28–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,39 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,47 | 2,91 1,09–4,74 0,61–5,22 | 41% 25% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,79 2,92–6,65 2,44–7,14 | 4,71 2,97–6,45 2,50–6,92 | 9,50 5,89–13,10 4,94–14,06 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 15,60 11,67–19,52 10,58–20,61 | 13,88 10,31–17,44 9,35–18,40 | 29,47 21,99–36,96 19,94–39,01 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,43 6,48–12,37 5,65–13,20 | 8,40 5,72–11,08 4,98–11,82 | 17,82 12,20–23,45 10,63–25,01 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,63 2,75–6,51 2,20–7,06 | 3,78 2,12–5,43 1,63–5,92 | 8,41 4,87–11,94 3,84–12,98 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Cornere | 6,25 4,04–8,47 3,47–9,04 | 4,80 2,80–6,80 2,27–7,33 | 11,05 6,84–15,27 5,73–16,37 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 52,76 45,97–59,55 44,30–61,22 | 47,51 40,72–54,29 39,05–55,96 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 477 410–544 392–562 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,63 58,60–66,66 57,31–67,95 | 67,34 63,02–71,66 61,71–72,97 | — | 25% 71% |
| Faulturi | 10,21 7,37–13,04 6,61–13,80 | 12,04 9,10–14,99 8,35–15,73 | 22,25 16,47–28,03 14,96–29,53 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 1,78 0,69–2,88 0,40–3,17 | 3,63 1,38–5,89 0,79–6,47 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,30–2,93 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 3,83 1,65–6,00 1,09–6,56 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,39–4,26 1,00–4,65 | 3,25 1,70–4,81 1,27–5,23 | 6,08 3,09–9,07 2,28–9,89 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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