La Liga·Etapa 31·
La Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,553,10sigur0,59–2,530,69–2,401,28–4,93mai sigur0,34–2,780,46–2,630,80–5,41
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,954,359,30sigur3,09–6,812,61–6,105,70–12,91mai sigur2,60–7,302,15–6,564,74–13,86
Total șuturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8212,8628,68sigur11,90–19,749,30–16,4221,19–36,17mai sigur10,80–20,848,34–17,3819,14–38,22
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,698,3518,04sigur6,74–12,635,67–11,0312,41–23,66mai sigur5,91–13,464,93–11,7710,85–25,23
Șuturi blocate
49%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,484,078,55sigur2,60–6,362,42–5,735,02–12,09mai sigur2,06–6,911,93–6,223,98–13,12
Cornere
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,615,2610,86sigur3,39–7,823,26–7,266,65–15,08mai sigur2,82–8,392,72–7,795,54–16,18
Posesie %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,9149,49sigur44,12–57,7042,70–56,27mai sigur42,45–59,3741,03–57,94
Pase
69%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție475416890sigur407–542349–482757–1024mai sigur389–560332–500721–1060
Precizie pase %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4668,44sigur61,43–69,4964,12–72,76mai sigur60,14–70,7862,81–74,07
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0711,3622,43sigur8,23–13,908,42–14,3116,65–28,21mai sigur7,47–14,667,67–15,0515,14–29,71
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,803,69sigur0,73–3,050,71–2,901,44–5,94mai sigur0,42–3,350,42–3,180,85–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,843,71sigur0,82–2,910,71–2,971,53–5,89mai sigur0,55–3,180,42–3,260,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,933,276,20sigur1,50–4,371,71–4,823,21–9,19mai sigur1,11–4,751,29–5,252,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,56 0,59–2,53 0,34–2,78 | 1,55 0,69–2,40 0,46–2,63 | 3,10 1,28–4,93 0,80–5,41 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,95 3,09–6,81 2,60–7,30 | 4,35 2,61–6,10 2,15–6,56 | 9,30 5,70–12,91 4,74–13,86 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 15,82 11,90–19,74 10,80–20,84 | 12,86 9,30–16,42 8,34–17,38 | 28,68 21,19–36,17 19,14–38,22 | 68% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,69 6,74–12,63 5,91–13,46 | 8,35 5,67–11,03 4,93–11,77 | 18,04 12,41–23,66 10,85–25,23 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,60–6,36 2,06–6,91 | 4,07 2,42–5,73 1,93–6,22 | 8,55 5,02–12,09 3,98–13,12 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,61 3,39–7,82 2,82–8,39 | 5,26 3,26–7,26 2,72–7,79 | 10,86 6,65–15,08 5,54–16,18 | 48% 40% |
| Posesie % | 50,91 44,12–57,70 42,45–59,37 | 49,49 42,70–56,27 41,03–57,94 | — | 51% 44% |
| Pase | 475 407–542 389–560 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 69% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,46 61,43–69,49 60,14–70,78 | 68,44 64,12–72,76 62,81–74,07 | — | 33% 63% |
| Faulturi | 11,07 8,23–13,90 7,47–14,66 | 11,36 8,42–14,31 7,67–15,05 | 22,43 16,65–28,21 15,14–29,71 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,42–3,35 | 1,80 0,71–2,90 0,42–3,18 | 3,69 1,44–5,94 0,85–6,53 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,91 0,55–3,18 | 1,84 0,71–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,71 1,53–5,89 0,97–6,44 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,93 1,50–4,37 1,11–4,75 | 3,27 1,71–4,82 1,29–5,25 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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