La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
13%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,872,853,72sigur0,00–1,842,00–3,711,90–5,55mai sigur0,00–2,091,77–3,931,42–6,03
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,397,0310,42sigur1,53–5,255,29–8,776,81–14,02mai sigur1,04–5,744,82–9,245,86–14,98
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9318,1229,04sigur7,00–14,8514,55–21,6821,55–36,53mai sigur5,91–15,9413,59–22,6419,50–38,58
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,7012,8619,56sigur3,76–9,6510,18–15,5413,94–25,19mai sigur2,93–10,489,44–16,2812,37–26,75
Șuturi blocate
19%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,295,378,66sigur1,41–5,183,71–7,025,12–12,19mai sigur0,87–5,723,22–7,514,09–13,23
Cornere
25%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,315,9810,29sigur2,10–6,523,98–7,986,08–14,50mai sigur1,52–7,103,45–8,514,97–15,61
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,0560,26sigur34,25–47,8453,47–67,04mai sigur32,59–49,5151,80–68,72
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție400583983sigur333–468516–649849–1117mai sigur315–486499–667813–1152
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4777,32sigur61,44–69,4973,00–81,64mai sigur60,14–70,7971,69–82,95
Faulturi
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,149,8021,94sigur9,30–14,986,85–12,7416,16–27,72mai sigur8,55–15,736,11–13,4914,65–29,23
Ofsaiduri
28%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,293,95sigur0,49–2,811,20–3,391,69–6,20mai sigur0,19–3,110,91–3,681,11–6,79
Cartonașe galbene
53%
20%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,603,88sigur1,23–3,330,47–2,731,70–6,06mai sigur0,96–3,600,18–3,021,15–6,62
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,080,21sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,260,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,400,00–0,84
Parade portar
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,392,566,94sigur2,95–5,821,00–4,113,95–9,94mai sigur2,56–6,210,57–4,543,14–10,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,87 0,00–1,84 0,00–2,09 | 2,85 2,00–3,71 1,77–3,93 | 3,72 1,90–5,55 1,42–6,03 | 13% 78% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,39 1,53–5,25 1,04–5,74 | 7,03 5,29–8,77 4,82–9,24 | 10,42 6,81–14,02 5,86–14,98 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 10,93 7,00–14,85 5,91–15,94 | 18,12 14,55–21,68 13,59–22,64 | 29,04 21,55–36,53 19,50–38,58 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,70 3,76–9,65 2,93–10,48 | 12,86 10,18–15,54 9,44–16,28 | 19,56 13,94–25,19 12,37–26,75 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,29 1,41–5,18 0,87–5,72 | 5,37 3,71–7,02 3,22–7,51 | 8,66 5,12–12,19 4,09–13,23 | 19% 70% |
| Cornere | 4,31 2,10–6,52 1,52–7,10 | 5,98 3,98–7,98 3,45–8,51 | 10,29 6,08–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 25% 64% |
| Posesie % | 41,05 34,25–47,84 32,59–49,51 | 60,26 53,47–67,04 51,80–68,72 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 400 333–468 315–486 | 583 516–649 499–667 | 983 849–1117 813–1152 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,47 61,44–69,49 60,14–70,79 | 77,32 73,00–81,64 71,69–82,95 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 12,14 9,30–14,98 8,55–15,73 | 9,80 6,85–12,74 6,11–13,49 | 21,94 16,16–27,72 14,65–29,23 | 65% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,11 | 2,29 1,20–3,39 0,91–3,68 | 3,95 1,69–6,20 1,11–6,79 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,28 1,23–3,33 0,96–3,60 | 1,60 0,47–2,73 0,18–3,02 | 3,88 1,70–6,06 1,15–6,62 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 4,39 2,95–5,82 2,56–6,21 | 2,56 1,00–4,11 0,57–4,54 | 6,94 3,95–9,94 3,14–10,75 | 69% 18% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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