La Liga·Etapa 26·
La Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,870,843,72sigur1,91–3,840,00–1,701,90–5,54mai sigur1,65–4,090,00–1,931,42–6,02
Șuturi pe poartă
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,133,0011,13sigur6,27–9,991,26–4,757,53–14,74mai sigur5,78–10,480,80–5,216,57–15,69
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,088,7029,78sigur17,15–25,005,14–12,2622,29–37,27mai sigur16,06–26,104,18–13,2220,24–39,32
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,765,8020,56sigur11,82–17,703,12–8,4814,94–26,18mai sigur10,99–18,532,38–9,2213,37–27,75
Șuturi blocate
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,752,237,98sigur3,87–7,630,58–3,884,45–11,52mai sigur3,33–8,180,09–4,383,41–12,55
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,563,2910,85sigur5,35–9,771,29–5,296,64–15,07mai sigur4,77–10,350,76–5,835,53–16,17
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,5439,78sigur53,75–67,3333,00–46,57mai sigur52,08–69,0031,33–48,24
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție610381991sigur543–677315–447858–1125mai sigur525–696297–465822–1161
Precizie pase %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1169,16sigur72,08–80,1464,83–73,48mai sigur70,79–81,4363,52–74,79
Faulturi
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2811,5120,79sigur6,44–12,128,57–14,4615,01–26,58mai sigur5,68–12,877,82–15,2113,51–28,08
Ofsaiduri
56%
19%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,461,644,10sigur1,30–3,620,55–2,741,85–6,36mai sigur1,00–3,920,26–3,031,26–6,95
Cartonașe galbene
22%
21%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,172,013,17sigur0,12–2,210,88–3,130,99–5,35mai sigur0,00–2,480,58–3,430,43–5,91
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,265,337,59sigur0,82–3,693,78–6,894,60–10,58mai sigur0,43–4,083,35–7,323,79–11,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,87 1,91–3,84 1,65–4,09 | 0,84 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,93 | 3,72 1,90–5,54 1,42–6,02 | 79% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,13 6,27–9,99 5,78–10,48 | 3,00 1,26–4,75 0,80–5,21 | 11,13 7,53–14,74 6,57–15,69 | 92% |
| Total șuturi | 21,08 17,15–25,00 16,06–26,10 | 8,70 5,14–12,26 4,18–13,22 | 29,78 22,29–37,27 20,24–39,32 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,76 11,82–17,70 10,99–18,53 | 5,80 3,12–8,48 2,38–9,22 | 20,56 14,94–26,18 13,37–27,75 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,75 3,87–7,63 3,33–8,18 | 2,23 0,58–3,88 0,09–4,38 | 7,98 4,45–11,52 3,41–12,55 | 86% |
| Cornere | 7,56 5,35–9,77 4,77–10,35 | 3,29 1,29–5,29 0,76–5,83 | 10,85 6,64–15,07 5,53–16,17 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 60,54 53,75–67,33 52,08–69,00 | 39,78 33,00–46,57 31,33–48,24 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 610 543–677 525–696 | 381 315–447 297–465 | 991 858–1125 822–1161 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,11 72,08–80,14 70,79–81,43 | 69,16 64,83–73,48 63,52–74,79 | — | 80% 17% |
| Faulturi | 9,28 6,44–12,12 5,68–12,87 | 11,51 8,57–14,46 7,82–15,21 | 20,79 15,01–26,58 13,51–28,08 | 27% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,46 1,30–3,62 1,00–3,92 | 1,64 0,55–2,74 0,26–3,03 | 4,10 1,85–6,36 1,26–6,95 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,17 0,12–2,21 0,00–2,48 | 2,01 0,88–3,13 0,58–3,43 | 3,17 0,99–5,35 0,43–5,91 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,26 0,82–3,69 0,43–4,08 | 5,33 3,78–6,89 3,35–7,32 | 7,59 4,60–10,58 3,79–11,40 | 83% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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