Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,490,953,44sigur1,52–3,460,10–1,811,62–5,27mai sigur1,27–3,710,00–2,031,14–5,74
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,593,349,93sigur4,73–8,451,60–5,086,33–13,54mai sigur4,24–8,941,13–5,555,37–14,49
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,619,3126,92sigur13,68–21,535,75–12,8719,43–34,40mai sigur12,59–22,624,79–13,8317,38–36,45
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,486,0618,54sigur9,53–15,423,38–8,7412,92–24,16mai sigur8,70–16,252,64–9,4811,35–25,73
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,232,617,84sigur3,35–7,110,96–4,264,30–11,38mai sigur2,81–7,660,46–4,753,27–12,41
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,653,299,94sigur4,44–8,861,29–5,295,72–14,15mai sigur3,86–9,440,75–5,824,62–15,26
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,6043,05sigur50,81–64,3936,26–49,83mai sigur49,14–66,0634,59–51,50
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție553428981sigur486–620361–494847–1115mai sigur468–639344–512812–1150
Precizie pase %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,4972,94sigur72,46–80,5268,62–77,26mai sigur71,17–81,8167,31–78,57
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9610,9920,95sigur7,12–12,808,05–13,9415,17–26,74mai sigur6,37–13,557,30–14,6913,67–28,24
Ofsaiduri
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,233,76sigur0,37–2,691,14–3,321,51–6,02mai sigur0,07–2,990,85–3,610,92–6,61
Cartonașe galbene
23%
21%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,272,043,31sigur0,22–2,320,91–3,171,13–5,48mai sigur0,00–2,580,62–3,460,57–6,04
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,244,276,51sigur0,81–3,682,71–5,833,52–9,51mai sigur0,42–4,072,29–6,252,71–10,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,49 1,52–3,46 1,27–3,71 | 0,95 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,03 | 3,44 1,62–5,27 1,14–5,74 | 71% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,59 4,73–8,45 4,24–8,94 | 3,34 1,60–5,08 1,13–5,55 | 9,93 6,33–13,54 5,37–14,49 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 17,61 13,68–21,53 12,59–22,62 | 9,31 5,75–12,87 4,79–13,83 | 26,92 19,43–34,40 17,38–36,45 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,48 9,53–15,42 8,70–16,25 | 6,06 3,38–8,74 2,64–9,48 | 18,54 12,92–24,16 11,35–25,73 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,23 3,35–7,11 2,81–7,66 | 2,61 0,96–4,26 0,46–4,75 | 7,84 4,30–11,38 3,27–12,41 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,65 4,44–8,86 3,86–9,44 | 3,29 1,29–5,29 0,75–5,82 | 9,94 5,72–14,15 4,62–15,26 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 57,60 50,81–64,39 49,14–66,06 | 43,05 36,26–49,83 34,59–51,50 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 553 486–620 468–639 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,49 72,46–80,52 71,17–81,81 | 72,94 68,62–77,26 67,31–78,57 | — | 65% 30% |
| Faulturi | 9,96 7,12–12,80 6,37–13,55 | 10,99 8,05–13,94 7,30–14,69 | 20,95 15,17–26,74 13,67–28,24 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–2,99 | 2,23 1,14–3,32 0,85–3,61 | 3,76 1,51–6,02 0,92–6,61 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,27 0,22–2,32 0,00–2,58 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,31 1,13–5,48 0,57–6,04 | 23% 21% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,24 0,81–3,68 0,42–4,07 | 4,27 2,71–5,83 2,29–6,25 | 6,51 3,52–9,51 2,71–10,32 | 16% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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