Bundesliga·Etapa 22·
Bundesliga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
20%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,313,64sigur0,37–2,311,45–3,161,82–5,47mai sigur0,12–2,561,22–3,391,34–5,95
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,956,1410,09sigur2,09–5,824,39–7,886,48–13,69mai sigur1,60–6,313,93–8,345,53–14,65
Total șuturi
22%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0015,5427,54sigur8,08–15,9211,97–19,1020,05–35,02mai sigur6,98–17,0211,02–20,0618,00–37,08
Șuturi din careu
16%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,4111,2518,66sigur4,47–10,358,57–13,9313,04–24,28mai sigur3,64–11,187,83–14,6711,47–25,85
Șuturi blocate
26%
13%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,194,477,67sigur1,31–5,082,82–6,134,13–11,20mai sigur0,77–5,622,33–6,623,10–12,24
Cornere
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,315,7110,03sigur2,10–6,533,71–7,715,81–14,24mai sigur1,53–7,103,18–8,254,71–15,35
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,7355,60sigur38,94–52,5248,82–62,39mai sigur37,27–54,1947,14–64,06
Pase
25%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție451533984sigur384–518467–599850–1118mai sigur366–536449–617815–1153
Precizie pase %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6376,52sigur65,60–73,6672,19–80,84mai sigur64,31–74,9570,88–82,15
Faulturi
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6710,5821,24sigur7,83–13,507,63–13,5215,46–27,03mai sigur7,07–14,266,89–14,2713,96–28,53
Ofsaiduri
50%
21%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,583,69sigur0,94–3,260,49–2,681,43–5,94mai sigur0,64–3,560,20–2,970,84–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
34%
24%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,673,15sigur0,43–2,530,54–2,800,97–5,33mai sigur0,16–2,800,25–3,090,42–5,89
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,260,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,792,826,61sigur2,35–5,231,26–4,373,61–9,60mai sigur1,97–5,610,83–4,802,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 2,31 1,45–3,16 1,22–3,39 | 3,64 1,82–5,47 1,34–5,95 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,95 2,09–5,82 1,60–6,31 | 6,14 4,39–7,88 3,93–8,34 | 10,09 6,48–13,69 5,53–14,65 | 20% 70% |
| Total șuturi | 12,00 8,08–15,92 6,98–17,02 | 15,54 11,97–19,10 11,02–20,06 | 27,54 20,05–35,02 18,00–37,08 | 22% 72% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,41 4,47–10,35 3,64–11,18 | 11,25 8,57–13,93 7,83–14,67 | 18,66 13,04–24,28 11,47–25,85 | 16% 78% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,19 1,31–5,08 0,77–5,62 | 4,47 2,82–6,13 2,33–6,62 | 7,67 4,13–11,20 3,10–12,24 | 26% 13% 61% |
| Cornere | 4,31 2,10–6,53 1,53–7,10 | 5,71 3,71–7,71 3,18–8,25 | 10,03 5,81–14,24 4,71–15,35 | 27% 61% |
| Posesie % | 45,73 38,94–52,52 37,27–54,19 | 55,60 48,82–62,39 47,14–64,06 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 451 384–518 366–536 | 533 467–599 449–617 | 984 850–1118 815–1153 | 25% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,63 65,60–73,66 64,31–74,95 | 76,52 72,19–80,84 70,88–82,15 | — | 17% 80% |
| Faulturi | 10,67 7,83–13,50 7,07–14,26 | 10,58 7,63–13,52 6,89–14,27 | 21,24 15,46–27,03 13,96–28,53 | 46% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,10 0,94–3,26 0,64–3,56 | 1,58 0,49–2,68 0,20–2,97 | 3,69 1,43–5,94 0,84–6,53 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,53 0,16–2,80 | 1,67 0,54–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 3,15 0,97–5,33 0,42–5,89 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,79 2,35–5,23 1,97–5,61 | 2,82 1,26–4,37 0,83–4,80 | 6,61 3,61–9,60 2,80–10,41 | 57% 15% 28% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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