Bundesliga·Etapa 5·
Bundesliga·Etapa 5·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
22%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,513,39sigur0,91–2,850,66–2,371,57–5,21mai sigur0,66–3,100,43–2,601,09–5,69
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,944,4810,42sigur4,07–7,802,74–6,226,81–14,02mai sigur3,58–8,292,27–6,695,86–14,98
Total șuturi
74%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5412,6129,15sigur12,61–20,469,05–16,1821,67–36,64mai sigur11,52–21,558,09–17,1419,61–38,69
Șuturi din careu
59%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,388,8419,22sigur7,43–13,326,16–11,5213,60–24,84mai sigur6,61–14,155,43–12,2612,03–26,41
Șuturi blocate
59%
13%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,633,498,12sigur2,75–6,511,84–5,144,59–11,66mai sigur2,21–7,061,35–5,643,55–12,69
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,904,5610,46sigur3,68–8,112,56–6,566,25–14,67mai sigur3,11–8,692,03–7,095,14–15,78
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7546,71sigur47,96–61,5439,93–53,50mai sigur46,29–63,2138,26–55,17
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485409894sigur418–553342–475761–1028mai sigur400–571325–493725–1064
Precizie pase %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9169,97sigur64,88–72,9465,65–74,29mai sigur63,59–74,2364,34–75,60
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3412,1522,49sigur7,51–13,189,20–15,0916,71–28,27mai sigur6,75–13,948,45–15,8415,21–29,78
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,553,01sigur0,30–2,620,46–2,650,76–5,27mai sigur0,00–2,920,17–2,930,17–5,85
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,953,62sigur0,62–2,710,83–3,081,44–5,80mai sigur0,35–2,980,53–3,370,88–6,36
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
25%
14%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,966,68sigur1,29–4,162,40–5,513,69–9,67mai sigur0,90–4,551,97–5,942,88–10,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,88 0,91–2,85 0,66–3,10 | 1,51 0,66–2,37 0,43–2,60 | 3,39 1,57–5,21 1,09–5,69 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,94 4,07–7,80 3,58–8,29 | 4,48 2,74–6,22 2,27–6,69 | 10,42 6,81–14,02 5,86–14,98 | 62% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,54 12,61–20,46 11,52–21,55 | 12,61 9,05–16,18 8,09–17,14 | 29,15 21,67–36,64 19,61–38,69 | 74% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,38 7,43–13,32 6,61–14,15 | 8,84 6,16–11,52 5,43–12,26 | 19,22 13,60–24,84 12,03–26,41 | 59% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,63 2,75–6,51 2,21–7,06 | 3,49 1,84–5,14 1,35–5,64 | 8,12 4,59–11,66 3,55–12,69 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,90 3,68–8,11 3,11–8,69 | 4,56 2,56–6,56 2,03–7,09 | 10,46 6,25–14,67 5,14–15,78 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,75 47,96–61,54 46,29–63,21 | 46,71 39,93–53,50 38,26–55,17 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 485 418–553 400–571 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,91 64,88–72,94 63,59–74,23 | 69,97 65,65–74,29 64,34–75,60 | — | 42% 53% |
| Faulturi | 10,34 7,51–13,18 6,75–13,94 | 12,15 9,20–15,09 8,45–15,84 | 22,49 16,71–28,27 15,21–29,78 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,46 0,30–2,62 0,00–2,92 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 3,01 0,76–5,27 0,17–5,85 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 1,95 0,83–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,62 1,44–5,80 0,88–6,36 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,96 2,40–5,51 1,97–5,94 | 6,68 3,69–9,67 2,88–10,49 | 25% 14% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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