Bundesliga·Etapa 22·
Bundesliga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,763,35sigur0,62–2,560,91–2,621,53–5,17mai sigur0,37–2,810,68–2,851,05–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,875,7810,65sigur3,01–6,734,04–7,527,05–14,26mai sigur2,52–7,223,57–7,996,09–15,21
Total șuturi
48%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3615,1130,48sigur11,44–19,2911,55–18,6822,99–37,96mai sigur10,35–20,3810,59–19,6320,94–40,01
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,919,5219,43sigur6,97–12,856,84–12,2013,81–25,05mai sigur6,14–13,686,10–12,9412,24–26,62
Șuturi blocate
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,213,928,14sigur2,33–6,102,27–5,584,60–11,67mai sigur1,79–6,641,78–6,073,57–12,71
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,514,9210,43sigur3,30–7,722,92–6,926,21–14,64mai sigur2,72–8,302,38–7,455,11–15,75
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8950,37sigur42,10–55,6843,58–57,15mai sigur40,43–57,3541,91–58,83
Pase
45%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție449464912sigur382–516397–530779–1046mai sigur363–534380–548743–1082
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,1272,21sigur64,09–72,1567,89–76,54mai sigur62,80–73,4466,58–77,85
Faulturi
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1110,8223,92sigur10,27–15,947,87–13,7618,14–29,71mai sigur9,51–16,707,12–14,5116,64–31,21
Ofsaiduri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,453,14sigur0,53–2,850,36–2,540,88–5,39mai sigur0,22–3,150,07–2,830,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,833,68sigur0,80–2,890,70–2,961,50–5,86mai sigur0,53–3,160,41–3,250,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,653,276,92sigur2,21–5,091,72–4,833,93–9,91mai sigur1,83–5,471,29–5,253,12–10,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,59 0,62–2,56 0,37–2,81 | 1,76 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 3,35 1,53–5,17 1,05–5,65 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,87 3,01–6,73 2,52–7,22 | 5,78 4,04–7,52 3,57–7,99 | 10,65 7,05–14,26 6,09–15,21 | 33% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 15,36 11,44–19,29 10,35–20,38 | 15,11 11,55–18,68 10,59–19,63 | 30,48 22,99–37,96 20,94–40,01 | 48% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,91 6,97–12,85 6,14–13,68 | 9,52 6,84–12,20 6,10–12,94 | 19,43 13,81–25,05 12,24–26,62 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,21 2,33–6,10 1,79–6,64 | 3,92 2,27–5,58 1,78–6,07 | 8,14 4,60–11,67 3,57–12,71 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,51 3,30–7,72 2,72–8,30 | 4,92 2,92–6,92 2,38–7,45 | 10,43 6,21–14,64 5,11–15,75 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 48,89 42,10–55,68 40,43–57,35 | 50,37 43,58–57,15 41,91–58,83 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 449 382–516 363–534 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 45% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,12 64,09–72,15 62,80–73,44 | 72,21 67,89–76,54 66,58–77,85 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 13,11 10,27–15,94 9,51–16,70 | 10,82 7,87–13,76 7,12–14,51 | 23,92 18,14–29,71 16,64–31,21 | 64% 28% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,22–3,15 | 1,45 0,36–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,89 0,53–3,16 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,65 2,21–5,09 1,83–5,47 | 3,27 1,72–4,83 1,29–5,25 | 6,92 3,93–9,91 3,12–10,73 | 48% 15% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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