Bundesliga·Etapa 6·
Bundesliga·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
25%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,212,74sigur0,56–2,500,36–2,070,92–4,56mai sigur0,31–2,750,13–2,290,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,403,959,36sigur3,54–7,272,21–5,695,75–12,96mai sigur3,05–7,761,74–6,164,79–13,92
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4210,3226,73sigur12,49–20,346,75–13,8819,25–34,22mai sigur11,40–21,435,79–14,8417,19–36,27
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,016,7816,79sigur7,07–12,954,10–9,4611,17–22,42mai sigur6,24–13,783,36–10,209,60–23,98
Șuturi blocate
65%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,432,877,30sigur2,55–6,311,22–4,523,76–10,84mai sigur2,00–6,850,73–5,022,73–11,87
Cornere
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,793,589,38sigur3,58–8,011,58–5,585,16–13,59mai sigur3,01–8,581,05–6,114,06–14,70
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,4342,97sigur50,64–64,2236,19–49,76mai sigur48,97–65,8934,52–51,43
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție541397937sigur474–608330–463804–1071mai sigur455–626313–481768–1107
Precizie pase %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,5173,04sigur74,48–82,5468,72–77,37mai sigur73,19–83,8367,41–78,68
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1411,3923,53sigur9,30–14,988,45–14,3417,75–29,32mai sigur8,55–15,747,70–15,0816,25–30,82
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,433,24sigur0,65–2,970,34–2,530,99–5,50mai sigur0,35–3,270,05–2,820,40–6,09
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,234,08sigur0,80–2,901,10–3,361,90–6,26mai sigur0,54–3,170,81–3,651,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
28%
16%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,543,455,99sigur1,10–3,981,89–5,002,99–8,98mai sigur0,72–4,361,46–5,432,18–9,79
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,29 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,40 3,54–7,27 3,05–7,76 | 3,95 2,21–5,69 1,74–6,16 | 9,36 5,75–12,96 4,79–13,92 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,42 12,49–20,34 11,40–21,43 | 10,32 6,75–13,88 5,79–14,84 | 26,73 19,25–34,22 17,19–36,27 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,01 7,07–12,95 6,24–13,78 | 6,78 4,10–9,46 3,36–10,20 | 16,79 11,17–22,42 9,60–23,98 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,31 2,00–6,85 | 2,87 1,22–4,52 0,73–5,02 | 7,30 3,76–10,84 2,73–11,87 | 65% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,79 3,58–8,01 3,01–8,58 | 3,58 1,58–5,58 1,05–6,11 | 9,38 5,16–13,59 4,06–14,70 | 71% 18% |
| Posesie % | 57,43 50,64–64,22 48,97–65,89 | 42,97 36,19–49,76 34,52–51,43 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 541 474–608 455–626 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,51 74,48–82,54 73,19–83,83 | 73,04 68,72–77,37 67,41–78,68 | — | 74% 22% |
| Faulturi | 12,14 9,30–14,98 8,55–15,74 | 11,39 8,45–14,34 7,70–15,08 | 23,53 17,75–29,32 16,25–30,82 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,43 0,34–2,53 0,05–2,82 | 3,24 0,99–5,50 0,40–6,09 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 4,08 1,90–6,26 1,35–6,82 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,54 1,10–3,98 0,72–4,36 | 3,45 1,89–5,00 1,46–5,43 | 5,99 2,99–8,98 2,18–9,79 | 28% 16% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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