Bundesliga·Etapa 23·
Bundesliga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
24%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,562,94sigur0,41–2,350,70–2,411,12–4,76mai sigur0,16–2,600,47–2,640,64–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,485,289,76sigur2,62–6,343,54–7,026,16–13,37mai sigur2,13–6,833,07–7,495,20–14,32
Total șuturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2813,3126,58sigur9,35–17,209,75–16,8719,10–34,07mai sigur8,26–18,298,79–17,8317,05–36,12
Șuturi din careu
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,858,8917,75sigur5,91–11,806,21–11,5712,12–23,37mai sigur5,08–12,635,47–12,3110,56–24,94
Șuturi blocate
45%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,817,78sigur2,08–5,852,16–5,474,24–11,32mai sigur1,54–6,391,67–5,963,21–12,35
Cornere
40%
13%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,809,37sigur2,36–6,792,80–6,805,16–13,58mai sigur1,78–7,362,27–7,334,05–14,69
Posesie %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,5654,11sigur38,77–52,3547,33–60,90mai sigur37,10–54,0245,66–62,57
Pase
23%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420507927sigur353–487440–573793–1060mai sigur335–505423–591757–1096
Precizie pase %
17%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,9878,73sigur67,95–76,0174,41–83,05mai sigur66,66–77,3073,10–84,36
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2713,0524,32sigur8,43–14,1110,10–15,9918,54–30,10mai sigur7,68–14,879,36–16,7417,03–31,61
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,653,34sigur0,53–2,850,56–2,751,09–5,60mai sigur0,23–3,150,27–3,040,50–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,273,81sigur0,49–2,591,14–3,401,64–5,99mai sigur0,23–2,860,85–3,691,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,922,915,83sigur1,48–4,361,35–4,472,84–8,82mai sigur1,10–4,740,93–4,892,02–9,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 1,56 0,70–2,41 0,47–2,64 | 2,94 1,12–4,76 0,64–5,24 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,34 2,13–6,83 | 5,28 3,54–7,02 3,07–7,49 | 9,76 6,16–13,37 5,20–14,32 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,28 9,35–17,20 8,26–18,29 | 13,31 9,75–16,87 8,79–17,83 | 26,58 19,10–34,07 17,05–36,12 | 46% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,85 5,91–11,80 5,08–12,63 | 8,89 6,21–11,57 5,47–12,31 | 17,75 12,12–23,37 10,56–24,94 | 45% 46% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,08–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 3,81 2,16–5,47 1,67–5,96 | 7,78 4,24–11,32 3,21–12,35 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,57 2,36–6,79 1,78–7,36 | 4,80 2,80–6,80 2,27–7,33 | 9,37 5,16–13,58 4,05–14,69 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Posesie % | 45,56 38,77–52,35 37,10–54,02 | 54,11 47,33–60,90 45,66–62,57 | — | 29% 67% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 335–505 | 507 440–573 423–591 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 23% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,98 67,95–76,01 66,66–77,30 | 78,73 74,41–83,05 73,10–84,36 | — | 17% 79% |
| Faulturi | 11,27 8,43–14,11 7,68–14,87 | 13,05 10,10–15,99 9,36–16,74 | 24,32 18,54–30,10 17,03–31,61 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,65 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,04 | 3,34 1,09–5,60 0,50–6,19 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,81 1,64–5,99 1,08–6,55 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,36 1,10–4,74 | 2,91 1,35–4,47 0,93–4,89 | 5,83 2,84–8,82 2,02–9,63 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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