Bundesliga·Etapa 6·
Bundesliga·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,163,43sigur1,31–3,240,30–2,011,61–5,25mai sigur1,05–3,490,07–2,241,13–5,73
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,684,2610,94sigur4,82–8,542,52–6,007,34–14,55mai sigur4,33–9,032,05–6,476,38–15,50
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,5212,5131,03sigur14,59–22,448,95–16,0823,54–38,52mai sigur13,50–23,537,99–17,0421,49–40,57
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,097,8720,96sigur10,15–16,035,19–10,5515,34–26,58mai sigur9,32–16,864,45–11,2913,77–28,15
Șuturi blocate
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,703,217,91sigur2,82–6,581,56–4,864,37–11,45mai sigur2,28–7,131,06–5,353,34–12,48
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,334,0810,41sigur4,12–8,552,08–6,086,20–14,63mai sigur3,55–9,121,54–6,615,09–15,73
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,0845,23sigur48,29–61,8738,44–52,01mai sigur46,62–63,5436,77–53,68
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526426952sigur459–593360–493818–1086mai sigur441–611342–510783–1121
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,9473,08sigur69,91–77,9768,75–77,40mai sigur68,62–79,2667,44–78,71
Faulturi
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9611,0523,00sigur9,12–14,798,10–13,9917,22–28,79mai sigur8,36–15,557,35–14,7415,72–30,29
Ofsaiduri
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,221,323,54sigur1,06–3,380,22–2,411,29–5,79mai sigur0,76–3,680,00–2,700,70–6,38
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,003,49sigur0,44–2,540,87–3,121,31–5,67mai sigur0,18–2,810,58–3,420,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,024,237,25sigur1,58–4,462,68–5,794,26–10,25mai sigur1,20–4,842,25–6,213,45–11,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,31–3,24 1,05–3,49 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 3,43 1,61–5,25 1,13–5,73 | 62% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,68 4,82–8,54 4,33–9,03 | 4,26 2,52–6,00 2,05–6,47 | 10,94 7,34–14,55 6,38–15,50 | 72% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 18,52 14,59–22,44 13,50–23,53 | 12,51 8,95–16,08 7,99–17,04 | 31,03 23,54–38,52 21,49–40,57 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,09 10,15–16,03 9,32–16,86 | 7,87 5,19–10,55 4,45–11,29 | 20,96 15,34–26,58 13,77–28,15 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,70 2,82–6,58 2,28–7,13 | 3,21 1,56–4,86 1,06–5,35 | 7,91 4,37–11,45 3,34–12,48 | 64% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,33 4,12–8,55 3,55–9,12 | 4,08 2,08–6,08 1,54–6,61 | 10,41 6,20–14,63 5,09–15,73 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 55,08 48,29–61,87 46,62–63,54 | 45,23 38,44–52,01 36,77–53,68 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 526 459–593 441–611 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,94 69,91–77,97 68,62–79,26 | 73,08 68,75–77,40 67,44–78,71 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 11,96 9,12–14,79 8,36–15,55 | 11,05 8,10–13,99 7,35–14,74 | 23,00 17,22–28,79 15,72–30,29 | 53% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,22 1,06–3,38 0,76–3,68 | 1,32 0,22–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,54 1,29–5,79 0,70–6,38 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,49 0,44–2,54 0,18–2,81 | 2,00 0,87–3,12 0,58–3,42 | 3,49 1,31–5,67 0,75–6,22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,02 1,58–4,46 1,20–4,84 | 4,23 2,68–5,79 2,25–6,21 | 7,25 4,26–10,25 3,45–11,06 | 26% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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