Bundesliga·Etapa 23·
Bundesliga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,143,60sigur0,49–2,431,29–2,991,78–5,42mai sigur0,24–2,681,06–3,221,30–5,90
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,8610,72sigur3,00–6,734,11–7,607,11–14,32mai sigur2,51–7,213,65–8,066,16–15,28
Total șuturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9115,6729,58sigur9,99–17,8412,11–19,2322,10–37,07mai sigur8,90–18,9311,15–20,1920,05–39,12
Șuturi din careu
28%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,7310,7419,48sigur5,79–11,688,06–13,4213,85–25,10mai sigur4,96–12,517,32–14,1612,29–26,67
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,193,807,99sigur2,31–6,082,14–5,454,46–11,53mai sigur1,77–6,621,65–5,943,42–12,56
Cornere
39%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,895,2810,17sigur2,67–7,103,28–7,285,96–14,38mai sigur2,10–7,672,75–7,814,85–15,49
Posesie %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,4851,35sigur42,69–56,2744,57–58,14mai sigur41,02–57,9442,90–59,81
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466476943sigur399–534410–543809–1076mai sigur381–552392–560773–1112
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2273,81sigur64,19–72,2569,49–78,13mai sigur62,90–73,5468,18–79,44
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7712,7223,49sigur7,93–13,609,78–15,6717,71–29,27mai sigur7,17–14,369,03–16,4216,20–30,78
Ofsaiduri
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,422,003,42sigur0,26–2,580,90–3,091,16–5,67mai sigur0,00–2,880,62–3,380,58–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,482,093,57sigur0,43–2,530,96–3,221,39–5,74mai sigur0,16–2,790,67–3,510,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,813,297,10sigur2,37–5,241,73–4,854,11–10,09mai sigur1,98–5,631,31–5,273,29–10,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,43 0,24–2,68 | 2,14 1,29–2,99 1,06–3,22 | 3,60 1,78–5,42 1,30–5,90 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 3,00–6,73 2,51–7,21 | 5,86 4,11–7,60 3,65–8,06 | 10,72 7,11–14,32 6,16–15,28 | 32% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 13,91 9,99–17,84 8,90–18,93 | 15,67 12,11–19,23 11,15–20,19 | 29,58 22,10–37,07 20,05–39,12 | 34% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,73 5,79–11,68 4,96–12,51 | 10,74 8,06–13,42 7,32–14,16 | 19,48 13,85–25,10 12,29–26,67 | 28% 63% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,19 2,31–6,08 1,77–6,62 | 3,80 2,14–5,45 1,65–5,94 | 7,99 4,46–11,53 3,42–12,56 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 4,89 2,67–7,10 2,10–7,67 | 5,28 3,28–7,28 2,75–7,81 | 10,17 5,96–14,38 4,85–15,49 | 39% 49% |
| Posesie % | 49,48 42,69–56,27 41,02–57,94 | 51,35 44,57–58,14 42,90–59,81 | — | 43% 52% |
| Pase | 466 399–534 381–552 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,22 64,19–72,25 62,90–73,54 | 73,81 69,49–78,13 68,18–79,44 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 10,77 7,93–13,60 7,17–14,36 | 12,72 9,78–15,67 9,03–16,42 | 23,49 17,71–29,27 16,20–30,78 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,42 0,26–2,58 0,00–2,88 | 2,00 0,90–3,09 0,62–3,38 | 3,42 1,16–5,67 0,58–6,26 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,53 0,16–2,79 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 3,57 1,39–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,81 2,37–5,24 1,98–5,63 | 3,29 1,73–4,85 1,31–5,27 | 7,10 4,11–10,09 3,29–10,90 | 50% 15% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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