Bundesliga·Etapa 7·
Bundesliga·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
20%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,433,70sigur1,31–3,240,58–2,281,88–5,53mai sigur1,05–3,490,35–2,511,40–6,01
Șuturi pe poartă
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,084,5311,61sigur5,21–8,942,79–6,278,00–15,21mai sigur4,72–9,432,32–6,747,05–16,17
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,4512,2232,66sigur16,52–24,378,66–15,7825,18–40,15mai sigur15,43–25,467,70–16,7423,13–42,20
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,888,5122,39sigur10,94–16,835,83–11,1916,77–28,01mai sigur10,11–17,665,09–11,9215,20–29,58
Șuturi blocate
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,892,808,69sigur4,01–7,771,14–4,455,15–12,22mai sigur3,46–8,320,65–4,944,12–13,26
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,514,1311,64sigur5,30–9,732,13–6,137,43–15,85mai sigur4,73–10,301,59–6,666,32–16,96
Posesie %
75%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2944,10sigur49,50–63,0837,31–50,88mai sigur47,83–64,7535,64–52,55
Pase
87%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție555421977sigur488–623355–488843–1111mai sigur470–641337–505808–1146
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,0173,55sigur71,98–80,0469,22–77,87mai sigur70,69–81,3367,91–79,18
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0411,5421,58sigur7,20–12,888,60–14,4915,80–27,36mai sigur6,44–13,637,85–15,2414,30–28,87
Ofsaiduri
32%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,544,61sigur0,91–3,231,45–3,632,35–6,86mai sigur0,61–3,531,16–3,921,77–7,45
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,913,29sigur0,32–2,420,78–3,041,11–5,46mai sigur0,06–2,690,49–3,330,55–6,02
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
22%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,084,707,78sigur1,65–4,523,14–6,254,79–10,77mai sigur1,26–4,912,72–6,683,98–11,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,31–3,24 1,05–3,49 | 1,43 0,58–2,28 0,35–2,51 | 3,70 1,88–5,53 1,40–6,01 | 57% 20% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,08 5,21–8,94 4,72–9,43 | 4,53 2,79–6,27 2,32–6,74 | 11,61 8,00–15,21 7,05–16,17 | 73% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 20,45 16,52–24,37 15,43–25,46 | 12,22 8,66–15,78 7,70–16,74 | 32,66 25,18–40,15 23,13–42,20 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,88 10,94–16,83 10,11–17,66 | 8,51 5,83–11,19 5,09–11,92 | 22,39 16,77–28,01 15,20–29,58 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,89 4,01–7,77 3,46–8,32 | 2,80 1,14–4,45 0,65–4,94 | 8,69 5,15–12,22 4,12–13,26 | 81% |
| Cornere | 7,51 5,30–9,73 4,73–10,30 | 4,13 2,13–6,13 1,59–6,66 | 11,64 7,43–15,85 6,32–16,96 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 56,29 49,50–63,08 47,83–64,75 | 44,10 37,31–50,88 35,64–52,55 | — | 75% 22% |
| Pase | 555 488–623 470–641 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 977 843–1111 808–1146 | 87% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,01 71,98–80,04 70,69–81,33 | 73,55 69,22–77,87 67,91–79,18 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 10,04 7,20–12,88 6,44–13,63 | 11,54 8,60–14,49 7,85–15,24 | 21,58 15,80–27,36 14,30–28,87 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 2,54 1,45–3,63 1,16–3,92 | 4,61 2,35–6,86 1,77–7,45 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,06–2,69 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,29 1,11–5,46 0,55–6,02 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,08 1,65–4,52 1,26–4,91 | 4,70 3,14–6,25 2,72–6,68 | 7,78 4,79–10,77 3,98–11,59 | 22% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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