Bundesliga·Etapa 24·
Bundesliga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,923,50sigur0,61–2,541,07–2,781,67–5,32mai sigur0,36–2,790,84–3,001,19–5,80
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,936,0610,99sigur3,07–6,804,31–7,807,39–14,60mai sigur2,58–7,293,85–8,266,43–15,55
Total șuturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1316,9632,08sigur11,20–19,0513,40–20,5224,60–39,57mai sigur10,11–20,1412,44–21,4822,55–41,62
Șuturi din careu
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7411,2420,98sigur6,80–12,698,56–13,9215,36–26,61mai sigur5,97–13,527,82–14,6613,79–28,17
Șuturi blocate
31%
13%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,784,768,54sigur1,90–5,673,11–6,415,01–12,08mai sigur1,36–6,212,61–6,903,97–13,11
Cornere
34%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,955,8310,78sigur2,73–7,163,83–7,836,57–14,99mai sigur2,16–7,733,30–8,375,46–16,10
Posesie %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,9653,59sigur41,17–54,7646,81–60,38mai sigur39,50–56,4245,14–62,05
Pase
33%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție459511970sigur392–526444–577836–1103mai sigur373–544427–595800–1139
Precizie pase %
16%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3977,47sigur66,36–74,4273,15–81,80mai sigur65,07–75,7171,84–83,11
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9410,4921,44sigur8,11–13,787,55–13,4415,65–27,22mai sigur7,35–14,546,80–14,1914,15–28,72
Ofsaiduri
51%
19%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,541,994,54sigur1,38–3,700,90–3,082,28–6,79mai sigur1,08–4,010,61–3,371,69–7,38
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,903,43sigur0,48–2,580,77–3,031,25–5,61mai sigur0,21–2,840,48–3,320,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
53%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,963,277,22sigur2,52–5,391,71–4,824,23–10,22mai sigur2,13–5,781,29–5,253,42–11,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,58 0,61–2,54 0,36–2,79 | 1,92 1,07–2,78 0,84–3,00 | 3,50 1,67–5,32 1,19–5,80 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,93 3,07–6,80 2,58–7,29 | 6,06 4,31–7,80 3,85–8,26 | 10,99 7,39–14,60 6,43–15,55 | 31% 57% |
| Total șuturi | 15,13 11,20–19,05 10,11–20,14 | 16,96 13,40–20,52 12,44–21,48 | 32,08 24,60–39,57 22,55–41,62 | 34% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,74 6,80–12,69 5,97–13,52 | 11,24 8,56–13,92 7,82–14,66 | 20,98 15,36–26,61 13,79–28,17 | 33% 59% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,90–5,67 1,36–6,21 | 4,76 3,11–6,41 2,61–6,90 | 8,54 5,01–12,08 3,97–13,11 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Cornere | 4,95 2,73–7,16 2,16–7,73 | 5,83 3,83–7,83 3,30–8,37 | 10,78 6,57–14,99 5,46–16,10 | 34% 55% |
| Posesie % | 47,96 41,17–54,76 39,50–56,42 | 53,59 46,81–60,38 45,14–62,05 | — | 35% 61% |
| Pase | 459 392–526 373–544 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 970 836–1103 800–1139 | 33% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,39 66,36–74,42 65,07–75,71 | 77,47 73,15–81,80 71,84–83,11 | — | 16% 80% |
| Faulturi | 10,94 8,11–13,78 7,35–14,54 | 10,49 7,55–13,44 6,80–14,19 | 21,44 15,65–27,22 14,15–28,72 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,54 1,38–3,70 1,08–4,01 | 1,99 0,90–3,08 0,61–3,37 | 4,54 2,28–6,79 1,69–7,38 | 51% 19% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,21–2,84 | 1,90 0,77–3,03 0,48–3,32 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,69–6,16 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,96 2,52–5,39 2,13–5,78 | 3,27 1,71–4,82 1,29–5,25 | 7,22 4,23–10,22 3,42–11,03 | 53% 15% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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