Bundesliga·Etapa 7·
Bundesliga·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,771,093,86sigur1,80–3,740,23–1,942,03–5,68mai sigur1,55–3,990,00–2,171,55–6,16
Șuturi pe poartă
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,943,8311,77sigur6,08–9,802,08–5,578,16–15,37mai sigur5,59–10,291,62–6,037,21–16,33
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,5010,4431,94sigur17,57–25,426,88–14,0124,46–39,43mai sigur16,48–26,525,92–14,9722,40–41,48
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,227,3221,54sigur11,28–17,164,64–10,0015,92–27,16mai sigur10,45–17,993,90–10,7414,35–28,73
Șuturi blocate
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,203,188,38sigur3,32–7,081,53–4,834,84–11,91mai sigur2,77–7,621,04–5,333,81–12,95
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,413,4710,88sigur5,20–9,631,47–5,476,67–15,09mai sigur4,62–10,200,94–6,005,56–16,20
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,8438,78sigur56,05–69,6332,00–45,57mai sigur54,38–71,3030,32–47,24
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție602363965sigur535–669296–429831–1098mai sigur517–688279–447795–1134
Precizie pase %
81%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5068,12sigur71,47–79,5363,80–72,44mai sigur70,18–80,8262,49–73,75
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9712,2622,23sigur7,13–12,809,31–15,2016,44–28,01mai sigur6,37–13,568,56–15,9514,94–29,51
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,633,19sigur0,40–2,720,54–2,720,94–5,45mai sigur0,10–3,020,25–3,010,35–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
21%
21%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,172,053,22sigur0,12–2,220,92–3,181,04–5,40mai sigur0,00–2,480,63–3,470,49–5,96
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,424,977,39sigur0,98–3,853,42–6,534,40–10,38mai sigur0,59–4,242,99–6,953,58–11,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,77 1,80–3,74 1,55–3,99 | 1,09 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 3,86 2,03–5,68 1,55–6,16 | 73% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,94 6,08–9,80 5,59–10,29 | 3,83 2,08–5,57 1,62–6,03 | 11,77 8,16–15,37 7,21–16,33 | 86% |
| Total șuturi | 21,50 17,57–25,42 16,48–26,52 | 10,44 6,88–14,01 5,92–14,97 | 31,94 24,46–39,43 22,40–41,48 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,22 11,28–17,16 10,45–17,99 | 7,32 4,64–10,00 3,90–10,74 | 21,54 15,92–27,16 14,35–28,73 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,20 3,32–7,08 2,77–7,62 | 3,18 1,53–4,83 1,04–5,33 | 8,38 4,84–11,91 3,81–12,95 | 70% 19% |
| Cornere | 7,41 5,20–9,63 4,62–10,20 | 3,47 1,47–5,47 0,94–6,00 | 10,88 6,67–15,09 5,56–16,20 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 62,84 56,05–69,63 54,38–71,30 | 38,78 32,00–45,57 30,32–47,24 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 602 535–669 517–688 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 965 831–1098 795–1134 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,50 71,47–79,53 70,18–80,82 | 68,12 63,80–72,44 62,49–73,75 | — | 81% 15% |
| Faulturi | 9,97 7,13–12,80 6,37–13,56 | 12,26 9,31–15,20 8,56–15,95 | 22,23 16,44–28,01 14,94–29,51 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,63 0,54–2,72 0,25–3,01 | 3,19 0,94–5,45 0,35–6,04 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,17 0,12–2,22 0,00–2,48 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,22 1,04–5,40 0,49–5,96 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 4,97 3,42–6,53 2,99–6,95 | 7,39 4,40–10,38 3,58–11,19 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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