Bundesliga·Etapa 24·
Bundesliga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
16%
18%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,202,523,73sigur0,23–2,171,67–3,381,90–5,55mai sigur0,00–2,421,44–3,611,42–6,03
Șuturi pe poartă
16%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,046,7610,80sigur2,18–5,905,02–8,507,20–14,41mai sigur1,69–6,394,55–8,976,24–15,36
Total șuturi
15%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9118,2231,12sigur8,98–16,8314,65–21,7823,64–38,61mai sigur7,89–17,9213,70–22,7421,59–40,66
Șuturi din careu
14%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,2812,6420,92sigur5,34–11,229,96–15,3215,30–26,54mai sigur4,51–12,059,22–16,0613,73–28,11
Șuturi blocate
32%
13%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,934,828,75sigur2,05–5,813,16–6,475,21–12,28mai sigur1,51–6,362,67–6,964,18–13,32
Cornere
23%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,436,3610,78sigur2,21–6,644,36–8,366,57–15,00mai sigur1,64–7,213,82–8,895,46–16,10
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție37,7561,66sigur30,96–44,5454,87–68,44mai sigur29,29–46,2153,20–70,11
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție355572927sigur287–422506–639793–1061mai sigur269–440488–656758–1096
Precizie pase %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,0777,73sigur59,04–67,1073,41–82,05mai sigur57,75–68,3972,10–83,36
Faulturi
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2910,4423,73sigur10,45–16,137,50–13,3917,95–29,51mai sigur9,70–16,886,75–14,1416,44–31,02
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,553,11sigur0,40–2,720,46–2,650,86–5,36mai sigur0,10–3,020,17–2,930,27–5,95
Cartonașe galbene
43%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,783,75sigur0,92–3,010,65–2,911,57–5,92mai sigur0,65–3,280,36–3,201,01–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,262,656,91sigur2,83–5,701,09–4,203,92–9,90mai sigur2,44–6,090,67–4,633,11–10,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,20 0,23–2,17 0,00–2,42 | 2,52 1,67–3,38 1,44–3,61 | 3,73 1,90–5,55 1,42–6,03 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,04 2,18–5,90 1,69–6,39 | 6,76 5,02–8,50 4,55–8,97 | 10,80 7,20–14,41 6,24–15,36 | 16% 75% |
| Total șuturi | 12,91 8,98–16,83 7,89–17,92 | 18,22 14,65–21,78 13,70–22,74 | 31,12 23,64–38,61 21,59–40,66 | 15% 81% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,28 5,34–11,22 4,51–12,05 | 12,64 9,96–15,32 9,22–16,06 | 20,92 15,30–26,54 13,73–28,11 | 14% 80% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,51–6,36 | 4,82 3,16–6,47 2,67–6,96 | 8,75 5,21–12,28 4,18–13,32 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Cornere | 4,43 2,21–6,64 1,64–7,21 | 6,36 4,36–8,36 3,82–8,89 | 10,78 6,57–15,00 5,46–16,10 | 23% 67% |
| Posesie % | 37,75 30,96–44,54 29,29–46,21 | 61,66 54,87–68,44 53,20–70,11 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 355 287–422 269–440 | 572 506–639 488–656 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,07 59,04–67,10 57,75–68,39 | 77,73 73,41–82,05 72,10–83,36 | — | 97% |
| Faulturi | 13,29 10,45–16,13 9,70–16,88 | 10,44 7,50–13,39 6,75–14,14 | 23,73 17,95–29,51 16,44–31,02 | 68% 25% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 3,11 0,86–5,36 0,27–5,95 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,01 0,65–3,28 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,75 1,57–5,92 1,01–6,48 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 4,26 2,83–5,70 2,44–6,09 | 2,65 1,09–4,20 0,67–4,63 | 6,91 3,92–9,90 3,11–10,71 | 66% 21% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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