Bundesliga·Etapa 7·
Bundesliga·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,162,79sigur0,66–2,600,31–2,020,97–4,62mai sigur0,41–2,850,08–2,250,49–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,323,819,14sigur3,46–7,192,07–5,565,53–12,74mai sigur2,97–7,681,60–6,024,58–13,70
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2210,8426,06sigur11,30–19,157,28–14,4018,58–33,55mai sigur10,21–20,246,32–15,3616,53–35,60
Șuturi din careu
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,616,9417,55sigur7,67–13,564,26–9,6211,93–23,18mai sigur6,84–14,393,52–10,3610,36–24,74
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,377,53sigur2,27–6,041,72–5,023,99–11,06mai sigur1,73–6,581,22–5,512,95–12,10
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,564,079,63sigur3,35–7,772,07–6,075,42–13,84mai sigur2,77–8,351,54–6,604,31–14,95
Posesie %
40%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8052,26sigur42,01–55,5945,47–59,04mai sigur40,34–57,2643,80–60,72
Pase
35%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție437481918sigur370–504415–548785–1052mai sigur352–522397–565749–1088
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2472,92sigur65,21–73,2768,59–77,24mai sigur63,92–74,5667,28–78,55
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3711,4822,85sigur8,54–14,218,53–14,4217,07–28,64mai sigur7,78–14,977,79–15,1715,57–30,14
Ofsaiduri
36%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,512,95sigur0,29–2,610,41–2,600,70–5,21mai sigur0,00–2,910,13–2,890,11–5,80
Cartonașe galbene
31%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,702,183,88sigur0,65–2,751,05–3,311,70–6,06mai sigur0,39–3,020,76–3,601,14–6,62
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,606,10sigur1,07–3,942,04–5,153,11–9,09mai sigur0,68–4,331,61–5,582,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,16 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,79 0,97–4,62 0,49–5,10 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,32 3,46–7,19 2,97–7,68 | 3,81 2,07–5,56 1,60–6,02 | 9,14 5,53–12,74 4,58–13,70 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,22 11,30–19,15 10,21–20,24 | 10,84 7,28–14,40 6,32–15,36 | 26,06 18,58–33,55 16,53–35,60 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,61 7,67–13,56 6,84–14,39 | 6,94 4,26–9,62 3,52–10,36 | 17,55 11,93–23,18 10,36–24,74 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,16 2,27–6,04 1,73–6,58 | 3,37 1,72–5,02 1,22–5,51 | 7,53 3,99–11,06 2,95–12,10 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,56 3,35–7,77 2,77–8,35 | 4,07 2,07–6,07 1,54–6,60 | 9,63 5,42–13,84 4,31–14,95 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 48,80 42,01–55,59 40,34–57,26 | 52,26 45,47–59,04 43,80–60,72 | — | 40% 56% |
| Pase | 437 370–504 352–522 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 35% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,24 65,21–73,27 63,92–74,56 | 72,92 68,59–77,24 67,28–78,55 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 11,37 8,54–14,21 7,78–14,97 | 11,48 8,53–14,42 7,79–15,17 | 22,85 17,07–28,64 15,57–30,14 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,51 0,41–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 2,95 0,70–5,21 0,11–5,80 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,39–3,02 | 2,18 1,05–3,31 0,76–3,60 | 3,88 1,70–6,06 1,14–6,62 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 3,60 2,04–5,15 1,61–5,58 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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