Bundesliga·Etapa 24·
Bundesliga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,473,01sigur0,58–2,510,61–2,321,19–4,84mai sigur0,33–2,770,39–2,550,71–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
13%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,604,639,22sigur2,74–6,462,88–6,375,62–12,83mai sigur2,25–6,952,42–6,834,66–13,78
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5312,9726,50sigur9,61–17,469,41–16,5319,01–33,99mai sigur8,52–18,558,45–17,4916,96–36,04
Șuturi din careu
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,559,7918,34sigur5,61–11,497,11–12,4712,72–23,97mai sigur4,78–12,326,37–13,2111,15–25,53
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,864,077,93sigur1,98–5,742,41–5,724,39–11,46mai sigur1,44–6,291,92–6,213,36–12,50
Cornere
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,224,8110,03sigur3,00–7,432,81–6,815,81–14,24mai sigur2,43–8,002,28–7,344,71–15,35
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7245,50sigur48,93–62,5138,71–52,28mai sigur47,26–64,1837,04–53,96
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție518407925sigur451–585341–473791–1059mai sigur433–603323–491756–1094
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9772,51sigur65,94–74,0068,18–76,83mai sigur64,64–75,2966,87–78,14
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0211,6322,65sigur8,18–13,868,69–14,5816,87–28,44mai sigur7,43–14,627,94–15,3215,37–29,94
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,543,30sigur0,61–2,930,44–2,631,05–5,56mai sigur0,30–3,230,16–2,920,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,813,30sigur0,45–2,540,68–2,941,13–5,48mai sigur0,18–2,810,39–3,230,57–6,04
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
47%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,112,805,91sigur1,67–4,541,24–4,362,92–8,90mai sigur1,28–4,930,82–4,782,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,51 0,33–2,77 | 1,47 0,61–2,32 0,39–2,55 | 3,01 1,19–4,84 0,71–5,32 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,74–6,46 2,25–6,95 | 4,63 2,88–6,37 2,42–6,83 | 9,22 5,62–12,83 4,66–13,78 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 13,53 9,61–17,46 8,52–18,55 | 12,97 9,41–16,53 8,45–17,49 | 26,50 19,01–33,99 16,96–36,04 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,55 5,61–11,49 4,78–12,32 | 9,79 7,11–12,47 6,37–13,21 | 18,34 12,72–23,97 11,15–25,53 | 34% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,86 1,98–5,74 1,44–6,29 | 4,07 2,41–5,72 1,92–6,21 | 7,93 4,39–11,46 3,36–12,50 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,22 3,00–7,43 2,43–8,00 | 4,81 2,81–6,81 2,28–7,34 | 10,03 5,81–14,24 4,71–15,35 | 49% 39% |
| Posesie % | 55,72 48,93–62,51 47,26–64,18 | 45,50 38,71–52,28 37,04–53,96 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 518 451–585 433–603 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,97 65,94–74,00 64,64–75,29 | 72,51 68,18–76,83 66,87–78,14 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 11,02 8,18–13,86 7,43–14,62 | 11,63 8,69–14,58 7,94–15,32 | 22,65 16,87–28,44 15,37–29,94 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,30–3,23 | 1,54 0,44–2,63 0,16–2,92 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,54 0,18–2,81 | 1,81 0,68–2,94 0,39–3,23 | 3,30 1,13–5,48 0,57–6,04 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,11 1,67–4,54 1,28–4,93 | 2,80 1,24–4,36 0,82–4,78 | 5,91 2,92–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 47% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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