Bundesliga·Etapa 7·
Bundesliga·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,303,18sigur0,91–2,840,45–2,161,36–5,00mai sigur0,66–3,090,22–2,390,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,013,879,88sigur4,15–7,882,13–5,616,28–13,49mai sigur3,66–8,371,66–6,085,32–14,44
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,2010,9728,18sigur13,28–21,137,41–14,5420,69–35,66mai sigur12,19–22,226,45–15,5018,64–37,71
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,087,7918,87sigur8,13–14,025,11–10,4713,25–24,49mai sigur7,30–14,854,38–11,2111,68–26,06
Șuturi blocate
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,993,398,38sigur3,11–6,881,74–5,044,85–11,92mai sigur2,57–7,421,24–5,533,81–12,95
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,504,3610,85sigur4,28–8,712,36–6,366,64–15,07mai sigur3,71–9,281,83–6,895,53–16,17
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,0544,78sigur49,26–62,8437,99–51,56mai sigur47,59–64,5136,32–53,24
Pase
85%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526399925sigur459–593333–465792–1059mai sigur441–612315–483756–1095
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,7067,77sigur64,67–72,7363,45–72,10mai sigur63,38–74,0262,14–73,41
Faulturi
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4911,1121,60sigur7,65–13,338,16–14,0515,82–27,38mai sigur6,90–14,097,42–14,8014,31–28,89
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,413,47sigur0,90–3,220,32–2,511,22–5,73mai sigur0,60–3,520,03–2,790,63–6,31
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,733,25sigur0,47–2,570,61–2,861,07–5,43mai sigur0,20–2,830,31–3,150,52–5,99
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
22%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,614,096,70sigur1,18–4,052,53–5,653,71–9,70mai sigur0,79–4,442,11–6,072,90–10,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,91–2,84 0,66–3,09 | 1,30 0,45–2,16 0,22–2,39 | 3,18 1,36–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,01 4,15–7,88 3,66–8,37 | 3,87 2,13–5,61 1,66–6,08 | 9,88 6,28–13,49 5,32–14,44 | 70% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 17,20 13,28–21,13 12,19–22,22 | 10,97 7,41–14,54 6,45–15,50 | 28,18 20,69–35,66 18,64–37,71 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,08 8,13–14,02 7,30–14,85 | 7,79 5,11–10,47 4,38–11,21 | 18,87 13,25–24,49 11,68–26,06 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,99 3,11–6,88 2,57–7,42 | 3,39 1,74–5,04 1,24–5,53 | 8,38 4,85–11,92 3,81–12,95 | 65% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,50 4,28–8,71 3,71–9,28 | 4,36 2,36–6,36 1,83–6,89 | 10,85 6,64–15,07 5,53–16,17 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 56,05 49,26–62,84 47,59–64,51 | 44,78 37,99–51,56 36,32–53,24 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 526 459–593 441–612 | 399 333–465 315–483 | 925 792–1059 756–1095 | 85% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,70 64,67–72,73 63,38–74,02 | 67,77 63,45–72,10 62,14–73,41 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 10,49 7,65–13,33 6,90–14,09 | 11,11 8,16–14,05 7,42–14,80 | 21,60 15,82–27,38 14,31–28,89 | 40% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,06 0,90–3,22 0,60–3,52 | 1,41 0,32–2,51 0,03–2,79 | 3,47 1,22–5,73 0,63–6,31 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,57 0,20–2,83 | 1,73 0,61–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,25 1,07–5,43 0,52–5,99 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 4,09 2,53–5,65 2,11–6,07 | 6,70 3,71–9,70 2,90–10,51 | 22% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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