Bundesliga·Etapa 24·
Bundesliga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
24%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,633,12sigur0,52–2,460,77–2,481,29–4,94mai sigur0,27–2,710,54–2,710,82–5,42
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,765,5510,32sigur2,90–6,623,81–7,306,71–13,92mai sigur2,41–7,113,35–7,765,76–14,88
Total șuturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0714,9128,98sigur10,14–17,9911,35–18,4721,49–36,46mai sigur9,05–19,0810,39–19,4319,44–38,51
Șuturi din careu
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2810,0319,31sigur6,34–12,237,35–12,7113,69–24,93mai sigur5,51–13,066,61–13,4512,12–26,50
Șuturi blocate
46%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,083,847,92sigur2,20–5,972,18–5,494,39–11,46mai sigur1,66–6,511,69–5,983,35–12,49
Cornere
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,325,4310,75sigur3,11–7,543,43–7,436,54–14,96mai sigur2,54–8,112,89–7,965,43–16,07
Posesie %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,4053,80sigur39,61–53,1947,01–60,58mai sigur37,94–54,8645,34–62,25
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție423486909sigur356–490420–553775–1043mai sigur338–508402–570740–1078
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,8771,75sigur59,84–67,9067,42–76,07mai sigur58,55–69,1966,12–77,38
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5611,3021,86sigur7,72–13,398,36–14,2516,08–27,64mai sigur6,96–14,157,61–15,0014,57–29,15
Ofsaiduri
30%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,153,79sigur0,48–2,801,06–3,241,54–6,05mai sigur0,18–3,110,77–3,530,95–6,64
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,512,093,60sigur0,46–2,560,96–3,221,42–5,78mai sigur0,20–2,830,67–3,510,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
49%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,563,126,68sigur2,12–4,991,56–4,683,69–9,67mai sigur1,73–5,381,14–5,102,87–10,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,46 0,27–2,71 | 1,63 0,77–2,48 0,54–2,71 | 3,12 1,29–4,94 0,82–5,42 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,90–6,62 2,41–7,11 | 5,55 3,81–7,30 3,35–7,76 | 10,32 6,71–13,92 5,76–14,88 | 34% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 14,07 10,14–17,99 9,05–19,08 | 14,91 11,35–18,47 10,39–19,43 | 28,98 21,49–36,46 19,44–38,51 | 40% 53% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,28 6,34–12,23 5,51–13,06 | 10,03 7,35–12,71 6,61–13,45 | 19,31 13,69–24,93 12,12–26,50 | 39% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,08 2,20–5,97 1,66–6,51 | 3,84 2,18–5,49 1,69–5,98 | 7,92 4,39–11,46 3,35–12,49 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,32 3,11–7,54 2,54–8,11 | 5,43 3,43–7,43 2,89–7,96 | 10,75 6,54–14,96 5,43–16,07 | 43% 45% |
| Posesie % | 46,40 39,61–53,19 37,94–54,86 | 53,80 47,01–60,58 45,34–62,25 | — | 31% 65% |
| Pase | 423 356–490 338–508 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,87 59,84–67,90 58,55–69,19 | 71,75 67,42–76,07 66,12–77,38 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,72–13,39 6,96–14,15 | 11,30 8,36–14,25 7,61–15,00 | 21,86 16,08–27,64 14,57–29,15 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,11 | 2,15 1,06–3,24 0,77–3,53 | 3,79 1,54–6,05 0,95–6,64 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,56 2,12–4,99 1,73–5,38 | 3,12 1,56–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 6,68 3,69–9,67 2,87–10,48 | 49% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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