Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
23%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,413,13sigur0,75–2,680,56–2,271,31–4,95mai sigur0,50–2,940,33–2,500,83–5,43
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,444,389,83sigur3,58–7,312,64–6,136,22–13,43mai sigur3,09–7,802,18–6,595,27–14,39
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,1411,5828,72sigur13,22–21,078,02–15,1421,24–36,21mai sigur12,13–22,167,06–16,1019,19–38,26
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,638,1318,76sigur7,68–13,575,45–10,8113,14–24,38mai sigur6,86–14,404,71–11,5511,57–25,95
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,843,107,93sigur2,96–6,721,44–4,754,40–11,47mai sigur2,41–7,260,95–5,243,36–12,50
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,074,3110,38sigur3,86–8,282,31–6,316,17–14,59mai sigur3,28–8,861,78–6,845,06–15,70
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,2448,40sigur44,45–58,0341,61–55,18mai sigur42,78–59,7039,94–56,85
Pase
58%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție491467958sigur423–558401–534824–1092mai sigur405–576383–551789–1128
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4474,93sigur69,41–77,4770,60–79,25mai sigur68,11–78,7669,29–80,56
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2912,5324,82sigur9,45–15,139,58–15,4719,03–30,60mai sigur8,69–15,888,83–16,2217,53–32,10
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,673,30sigur0,47–2,790,58–2,761,05–5,56mai sigur0,17–3,090,29–3,050,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,324,23sigur0,86–2,961,19–3,452,05–6,41mai sigur0,59–3,220,90–3,741,49–6,96
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,883,486,36sigur1,45–4,321,93–5,043,37–9,36mai sigur1,06–4,711,50–5,462,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,72 0,75–2,68 0,50–2,94 | 1,41 0,56–2,27 0,33–2,50 | 3,13 1,31–4,95 0,83–5,43 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,44 3,58–7,31 3,09–7,80 | 4,38 2,64–6,13 2,18–6,59 | 9,83 6,22–13,43 5,27–14,39 | 57% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 17,14 13,22–21,07 12,13–22,16 | 11,58 8,02–15,14 7,06–16,10 | 28,72 21,24–36,21 19,19–38,26 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,63 7,68–13,57 6,86–14,40 | 8,13 5,45–10,81 4,71–11,55 | 18,76 13,14–24,38 11,57–25,95 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,84 2,96–6,72 2,41–7,26 | 3,10 1,44–4,75 0,95–5,24 | 7,93 4,40–11,47 3,36–12,50 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,86–8,28 3,28–8,86 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,78–6,84 | 10,38 6,17–14,59 5,06–15,70 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 51,24 44,45–58,03 42,78–59,70 | 48,40 41,61–55,18 39,94–56,85 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 491 423–558 405–576 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 958 824–1092 789–1128 | 58% 42% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,44 69,41–77,47 68,11–78,76 | 74,93 70,60–79,25 69,29–80,56 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 12,29 9,45–15,13 8,69–15,88 | 12,53 9,58–15,47 8,83–16,22 | 24,82 19,03–30,60 17,53–32,10 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,09 | 1,67 0,58–2,76 0,29–3,05 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,59–3,22 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,23 2,05–6,41 1,49–6,96 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,45–4,32 1,06–4,71 | 3,48 1,93–5,04 1,50–5,46 | 6,36 3,37–9,36 2,56–10,17 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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