Bundesliga·Etapa 25·
Bundesliga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,783,32sigur0,57–2,510,92–2,631,49–5,14mai sigur0,32–2,760,69–2,861,02–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,775,069,83sigur2,90–6,633,32–6,816,23–13,44mai sigur2,41–7,122,86–7,275,27–14,39
Total șuturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6013,9627,57sigur9,68–17,5310,40–17,5320,08–35,05mai sigur8,59–18,629,44–18,4918,03–37,11
Șuturi din careu
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2610,0119,27sigur6,32–12,207,33–12,6913,65–24,89mai sigur5,49–13,036,59–13,4312,08–26,46
Șuturi blocate
36%
14%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,854,358,20sigur1,97–5,732,70–6,004,66–11,74mai sigur1,43–6,282,20–6,493,63–12,77
Cornere
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,175,0210,19sigur2,96–7,383,02–7,025,97–14,40mai sigur2,38–7,962,48–7,554,87–15,51
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,2551,39sigur43,46–57,0444,61–58,18mai sigur41,79–58,7142,94–59,85
Pase
44%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481498978sigur414–548431–564845–1112mai sigur395–566414–582809–1148
Precizie pase %
25%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,6876,31sigur67,65–75,7171,99–80,63mai sigur66,35–77,0070,68–81,94
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6612,2723,92sigur8,82–14,499,32–15,2118,14–29,71mai sigur8,06–15,258,57–15,9616,64–31,21
Ofsaiduri
41%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,643,38sigur0,58–2,900,55–2,731,12–5,63mai sigur0,28–3,200,26–3,020,53–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,592,073,66sigur0,54–2,640,94–3,201,48–5,84mai sigur0,27–2,910,65–3,490,92–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,146,34sigur1,76–4,641,58–4,693,34–9,33mai sigur1,38–5,021,16–5,122,53–10,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,54 0,57–2,51 0,32–2,76 | 1,78 0,92–2,63 0,69–2,86 | 3,32 1,49–5,14 1,02–5,62 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,77 2,90–6,63 2,41–7,12 | 5,06 3,32–6,81 2,86–7,27 | 9,83 6,23–13,44 5,27–14,39 | 40% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 13,60 9,68–17,53 8,59–18,62 | 13,96 10,40–17,53 9,44–18,49 | 27,57 20,08–35,05 18,03–37,11 | 43% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,26 6,32–12,20 5,49–13,03 | 10,01 7,33–12,69 6,59–13,43 | 19,27 13,65–24,89 12,08–26,46 | 39% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,85 1,97–5,73 1,43–6,28 | 4,35 2,70–6,00 2,20–6,49 | 8,20 4,66–11,74 3,63–12,77 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Cornere | 5,17 2,96–7,38 2,38–7,96 | 5,02 3,02–7,02 2,48–7,55 | 10,19 5,97–14,40 4,87–15,51 | 46% 42% |
| Posesie % | 50,25 43,46–57,04 41,79–58,71 | 51,39 44,61–58,18 42,94–59,85 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 481 414–548 395–566 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 978 845–1112 809–1148 | 44% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,68 67,65–75,71 66,35–77,00 | 76,31 71,99–80,63 70,68–81,94 | — | 25% 70% |
| Faulturi | 11,66 8,82–14,49 8,06–15,25 | 12,27 9,32–15,21 8,57–15,96 | 23,92 18,14–29,71 16,64–31,21 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,38 1,12–5,63 0,53–6,22 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,64 0,27–2,91 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,92–6,40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,20 1,76–4,64 1,38–5,02 | 3,14 1,58–4,69 1,16–5,12 | 6,34 3,34–9,33 2,53–10,14 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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