Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,432,053,48sigur0,47–2,401,19–2,901,66–5,30mai sigur0,21–2,650,96–3,131,18–5,78
Șuturi pe poartă
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,796,0710,86sigur2,92–6,654,33–7,827,26–14,47mai sigur2,44–7,143,87–8,286,30–15,42
Total șuturi
28%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4916,1729,66sigur9,57–17,4112,61–19,7422,18–37,15mai sigur8,47–18,5111,65–20,7020,13–39,20
Șuturi din careu
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5511,8321,38sigur6,61–12,509,14–14,5115,76–27,00mai sigur5,78–13,338,41–15,2414,19–28,57
Șuturi blocate
31%
14%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,424,337,76sigur1,54–5,312,68–5,984,22–11,29mai sigur1,00–5,852,19–6,483,18–12,33
Cornere
31%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,006,1611,15sigur2,78–7,214,16–8,166,94–15,37mai sigur2,21–7,783,62–8,695,83–16,47
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,6559,54sigur33,86–47,4452,75–66,32mai sigur32,19–49,1151,08–67,99
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție380559939sigur312–447492–625805–1072mai sigur294–465475–643769–1108
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,4176,51sigur59,38–67,4472,19–80,83mai sigur58,08–68,7370,88–82,14
Faulturi
50%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0610,5021,57sigur8,22–13,907,56–13,4515,78–27,35mai sigur7,47–14,666,81–14,2014,28–28,85
Ofsaiduri
53%
18%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,742,034,77sigur1,58–3,900,94–3,132,52–7,02mai sigur1,28–4,200,65–3,411,93–7,61
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,154,01sigur0,80–2,901,02–3,281,83–6,18mai sigur0,54–3,170,73–3,571,27–6,74
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,147,29sigur2,72–5,591,58–4,704,30–10,29mai sigur2,33–5,981,16–5,123,49–11,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,47–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 2,05 1,19–2,90 0,96–3,13 | 3,48 1,66–5,30 1,18–5,78 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,79 2,92–6,65 2,44–7,14 | 6,07 4,33–7,82 3,87–8,28 | 10,86 7,26–14,47 6,30–15,42 | 29% 59% |
| Total șuturi | 13,49 9,57–17,41 8,47–18,51 | 16,17 12,61–19,74 11,65–20,70 | 29,66 22,18–37,15 20,13–39,20 | 28% 66% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,55 6,61–12,50 5,78–13,33 | 11,83 9,14–14,51 8,41–15,24 | 21,38 15,76–27,00 14,19–28,57 | 27% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,42 1,54–5,31 1,00–5,85 | 4,33 2,68–5,98 2,19–6,48 | 7,76 4,22–11,29 3,18–12,33 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Cornere | 5,00 2,78–7,21 2,21–7,78 | 6,16 4,16–8,16 3,62–8,69 | 11,15 6,94–15,37 5,83–16,47 | 31% 58% |
| Posesie % | 40,65 33,86–47,44 32,19–49,11 | 59,54 52,75–66,32 51,08–67,99 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 380 312–447 294–465 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,41 59,38–67,44 58,08–68,73 | 76,51 72,19–80,83 70,88–82,14 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 11,06 8,22–13,90 7,47–14,66 | 10,50 7,56–13,45 6,81–14,20 | 21,57 15,78–27,35 14,28–28,85 | 50% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,74 1,58–3,90 1,28–4,20 | 2,03 0,94–3,13 0,65–3,41 | 4,77 2,52–7,02 1,93–7,61 | 53% 18% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,01 1,83–6,18 1,27–6,74 | 34% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,16 2,72–5,59 2,33–5,98 | 3,14 1,58–4,70 1,16–5,12 | 7,29 4,30–10,29 3,49–11,10 | 57% 14% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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