Bundesliga·Etapa 25·
Bundesliga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
17%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,531,153,69sigur1,56–3,500,30–2,011,86–5,51mai sigur1,31–3,750,07–2,241,38–5,99
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,484,2611,74sigur5,62–9,342,52–6,018,14–15,35mai sigur5,13–9,832,06–6,477,18–16,30
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,3811,1730,55sigur15,46–23,317,60–14,7323,06–38,04mai sigur14,37–24,406,64–15,6921,01–40,09
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,707,9121,61sigur10,76–16,645,23–10,5915,99–27,24mai sigur9,93–17,474,49–11,3314,42–28,80
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,412,688,10sigur3,53–7,291,03–4,344,56–11,63mai sigur2,99–7,840,54–4,833,53–12,67
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,484,1511,63sigur5,27–9,692,15–6,157,42–15,85mai sigur4,69–10,271,62–6,696,31–16,95
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,8138,13sigur55,02–68,6031,35–44,92mai sigur53,35–70,2729,67–46,59
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție616362978sigur549–683295–428844–1111mai sigur531–701278–446808–1147
Precizie pase %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,0367,97sigur72,00–80,0663,64–72,29mai sigur70,71–81,3562,33–73,60
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3111,0420,35sigur6,47–12,158,09–13,9814,57–26,13mai sigur5,72–12,907,35–14,7313,06–27,64
Ofsaiduri
24%
17%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,844,69sigur0,69–3,021,74–3,932,44–6,95mai sigur0,39–3,321,46–4,221,85–7,54
Cartonașe galbene
25%
24%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,131,742,88sigur0,09–2,180,62–2,870,70–5,06mai sigur0,00–2,450,32–3,160,14–5,61
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,684,717,39sigur1,25–4,123,15–6,264,40–10,38mai sigur0,86–4,512,73–6,693,59–11,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,53 1,56–3,50 1,31–3,75 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 3,69 1,86–5,51 1,38–5,99 | 67% 17% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,48 5,62–9,34 5,13–9,83 | 4,26 2,52–6,01 2,06–6,47 | 11,74 8,14–15,35 7,18–16,30 | 79% 14% |
| Total șuturi | 19,38 15,46–23,31 14,37–24,40 | 11,17 7,60–14,73 6,64–15,69 | 30,55 23,06–38,04 21,01–40,09 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,70 10,76–16,64 9,93–17,47 | 7,91 5,23–10,59 4,49–11,33 | 21,61 15,99–27,24 14,42–28,80 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,41 3,53–7,29 2,99–7,84 | 2,68 1,03–4,34 0,54–4,83 | 8,10 4,56–11,63 3,53–12,67 | 78% |
| Cornere | 7,48 5,27–9,69 4,69–10,27 | 4,15 2,15–6,15 1,62–6,69 | 11,63 7,42–15,85 6,31–16,95 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 61,81 55,02–68,60 53,35–70,27 | 38,13 31,35–44,92 29,67–46,59 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 616 549–683 531–701 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,03 72,00–80,06 70,71–81,35 | 67,97 63,64–72,29 62,33–73,60 | — | 84% 13% |
| Faulturi | 9,31 6,47–12,15 5,72–12,90 | 11,04 8,09–13,98 7,35–14,73 | 20,35 14,57–26,13 13,06–27,64 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,69–3,02 0,39–3,32 | 2,84 1,74–3,93 1,46–4,22 | 4,69 2,44–6,95 1,85–7,54 | 24% 17% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,13 0,09–2,18 0,00–2,45 | 1,74 0,62–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 2,88 0,70–5,06 0,14–5,61 | 25% 24% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,25–4,12 0,86–4,51 | 4,71 3,15–6,26 2,73–6,69 | 7,39 4,40–10,38 3,59–11,19 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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