Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,803,14sigur0,37–2,310,95–2,661,32–4,96mai sigur0,12–2,560,72–2,880,84–5,44
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
13%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,204,869,05sigur2,34–6,063,11–6,605,45–12,66mai sigur1,85–6,552,65–7,064,49–13,62
Total șuturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5115,2227,73sigur8,59–16,4411,66–18,7820,24–35,22mai sigur7,50–17,5310,70–19,7418,19–37,27
Șuturi din careu
22%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,7610,5918,35sigur4,82–10,707,91–13,2712,73–23,97mai sigur3,99–11,537,17–14,0111,16–25,54
Șuturi blocate
33%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,784,558,33sigur1,89–5,662,90–6,214,79–11,86mai sigur1,35–6,202,41–6,703,76–12,90
Cornere
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,895,3310,21sigur2,67–7,103,33–7,336,00–14,43mai sigur2,10–7,672,79–7,864,89–15,53
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,4846,73sigur47,69–61,2839,95–53,52mai sigur46,02–62,9438,27–55,19
Pase
71%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485418903sigur418–552352–485770–1037mai sigur400–571334–502734–1073
Precizie pase %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0472,82sigur64,01–72,0768,50–77,15mai sigur62,72–73,3667,19–78,46
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0511,8021,84sigur7,21–12,888,85–14,7416,06–27,62mai sigur6,45–13,648,10–15,4914,55–29,13
Ofsaiduri
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,482,303,78sigur0,32–2,641,21–3,391,53–6,03mai sigur0,02–2,940,92–3,680,94–6,62
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,512,063,57sigur0,46–2,560,93–3,191,39–5,75mai sigur0,20–2,830,64–3,480,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,282,956,23sigur1,84–4,711,39–4,503,23–9,22mai sigur1,45–5,100,97–4,932,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,80 0,95–2,66 0,72–2,88 | 3,14 1,32–4,96 0,84–5,44 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,20 2,34–6,06 1,85–6,55 | 4,86 3,11–6,60 2,65–7,06 | 9,05 5,45–12,66 4,49–13,62 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 12,51 8,59–16,44 7,50–17,53 | 15,22 11,66–18,78 10,70–19,74 | 27,73 20,24–35,22 18,19–37,27 | 27% 66% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,76 4,82–10,70 3,99–11,53 | 10,59 7,91–13,27 7,17–14,01 | 18,35 12,73–23,97 11,16–25,54 | 22% 71% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,89–5,66 1,35–6,20 | 4,55 2,90–6,21 2,41–6,70 | 8,33 4,79–11,86 3,76–12,90 | 33% 14% 54% |
| Cornere | 4,89 2,67–7,10 2,10–7,67 | 5,33 3,33–7,33 2,79–7,86 | 10,21 6,00–14,43 4,89–15,53 | 38% 49% |
| Posesie % | 54,48 47,69–61,28 46,02–62,94 | 46,73 39,95–53,52 38,27–55,19 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 485 418–552 400–571 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 71% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,04 64,01–72,07 62,72–73,36 | 72,82 68,50–77,15 67,19–78,46 | — | 25% 71% |
| Faulturi | 10,05 7,21–12,88 6,45–13,64 | 11,80 8,85–14,74 8,10–15,49 | 21,84 16,06–27,62 14,55–29,13 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,48 0,32–2,64 0,02–2,94 | 2,30 1,21–3,39 0,92–3,68 | 3,78 1,53–6,03 0,94–6,62 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,57 1,39–5,75 0,83–6,30 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,28 1,84–4,71 1,45–5,10 | 2,95 1,39–4,50 0,97–4,93 | 6,23 3,23–9,22 2,42–10,03 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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