Bundesliga·Etapa 25·
Bundesliga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,143,06sigur0,95–2,890,28–1,991,24–4,88mai sigur0,70–3,140,06–2,220,76–5,36
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,783,819,59sigur3,92–7,642,07–5,555,98–13,19mai sigur3,43–8,131,60–6,025,03–14,15
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,5210,5629,08sigur14,59–22,447,00–14,1221,59–36,57mai sigur13,50–23,536,04–15,0819,54–38,62
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,046,9620,00sigur10,10–15,984,28–9,6414,38–25,62mai sigur9,27–16,813,54–10,3812,81–27,19
Șuturi blocate
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,913,288,19sigur3,03–6,791,63–4,934,65–11,72mai sigur2,48–7,331,13–5,433,62–12,76
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,344,1610,51sigur4,13–8,562,16–6,166,29–14,72mai sigur3,56–9,131,63–6,705,19–15,83
Posesie %
42%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2451,77sigur42,45–56,0344,99–58,56mai sigur40,78–57,7043,32–60,23
Pase
43%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436456892sigur369–503390–523759–1026mai sigur351–521372–540723–1062
Precizie pase %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8372,65sigur67,80–75,8668,32–76,97mai sigur66,51–77,1567,01–78,28
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5210,5622,08sigur8,68–14,367,62–13,5116,30–27,86mai sigur7,93–15,126,87–14,2514,80–29,37
Ofsaiduri
60%
19%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,301,283,58sigur1,14–3,460,18–2,371,33–5,83mai sigur0,84–3,770,00–2,660,74–6,42
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,763,29sigur0,48–2,580,63–2,891,11–5,47mai sigur0,21–2,840,34–3,180,55–6,02
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
23%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,493,826,31sigur1,06–3,932,26–5,373,32–9,30mai sigur0,67–4,321,84–5,802,51–10,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,92 0,95–2,89 0,70–3,14 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 3,06 1,24–4,88 0,76–5,36 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,78 3,92–7,64 3,43–8,13 | 3,81 2,07–5,55 1,60–6,02 | 9,59 5,98–13,19 5,03–14,15 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 18,52 14,59–22,44 13,50–23,53 | 10,56 7,00–14,12 6,04–15,08 | 29,08 21,59–36,57 19,54–38,62 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,04 10,10–15,98 9,27–16,81 | 6,96 4,28–9,64 3,54–10,38 | 20,00 14,38–25,62 12,81–27,19 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,91 3,03–6,79 2,48–7,33 | 3,28 1,63–4,93 1,13–5,43 | 8,19 4,65–11,72 3,62–12,76 | 65% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,34 4,13–8,56 3,56–9,13 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,63–6,70 | 10,51 6,29–14,72 5,19–15,83 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 49,24 42,45–56,03 40,78–57,70 | 51,77 44,99–58,56 43,32–60,23 | — | 42% 54% |
| Pase | 436 369–503 351–521 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 43% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,83 67,80–75,86 66,51–77,15 | 72,65 68,32–76,97 67,01–78,28 | — | 43% 52% |
| Faulturi | 11,52 8,68–14,36 7,93–15,12 | 10,56 7,62–13,51 6,87–14,25 | 22,08 16,30–27,86 14,80–29,37 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,30 1,14–3,46 0,84–3,77 | 1,28 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 3,58 1,33–5,83 0,74–6,42 | 60% 19% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,21–2,84 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,29 1,11–5,47 0,55–6,02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,49 1,06–3,93 0,67–4,32 | 3,82 2,26–5,37 1,84–5,80 | 6,31 3,32–9,30 2,51–10,11 | 23% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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