Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,773,25sigur0,51–2,450,91–2,621,43–5,07mai sigur0,26–2,700,68–2,850,95–5,55
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,295,9411,22sigur3,42–7,154,19–7,687,62–14,83mai sigur2,93–7,643,73–8,146,66–15,78
Total șuturi
48%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3015,0530,36sigur11,38–19,2311,49–18,6222,87–37,84mai sigur10,29–20,3210,53–19,5820,82–39,89
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2410,2819,51sigur6,29–12,187,60–12,9613,89–25,14mai sigur5,46–13,016,86–13,6912,32–26,70
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,294,358,64sigur2,41–6,182,69–6,005,11–12,18mai sigur1,87–6,722,20–6,494,07–13,21
Cornere
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,475,5210,99sigur3,26–7,683,52–7,526,78–15,20mai sigur2,68–8,262,99–8,055,67–16,31
Posesie %
43%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2651,43sigur42,47–56,0544,65–58,22mai sigur40,80–57,7242,98–59,89
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție425449874sigur357–492383–515740–1007mai sigur339–510365–533704–1043
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,1476,96sigur64,11–72,1772,63–81,28mai sigur62,81–73,4671,32–82,59
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0912,6923,78sigur8,25–13,939,75–15,6418,00–29,56mai sigur7,49–14,689,00–16,3916,50–31,07
Ofsaiduri
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,033,57sigur0,38–2,700,93–3,121,32–5,82mai sigur0,08–3,010,65–3,410,73–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
30%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,762,264,02sigur0,71–2,811,13–3,391,84–6,19mai sigur0,44–3,070,84–3,681,28–6,75
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,236,90sigur2,23–5,101,68–4,793,91–9,89mai sigur1,84–5,491,25–5,213,09–10,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,51–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,77 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 3,25 1,43–5,07 0,95–5,55 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,29 3,42–7,15 2,93–7,64 | 5,94 4,19–7,68 3,73–8,14 | 11,22 7,62–14,83 6,66–15,78 | 36% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 15,30 11,38–19,23 10,29–20,32 | 15,05 11,49–18,62 10,53–19,58 | 30,36 22,87–37,84 20,82–39,89 | 48% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,24 6,29–12,18 5,46–13,01 | 10,28 7,60–12,96 6,86–13,69 | 19,51 13,89–25,14 12,32–26,70 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,29 2,41–6,18 1,87–6,72 | 4,35 2,69–6,00 2,20–6,49 | 8,64 5,11–12,18 4,07–13,21 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,47 3,26–7,68 2,68–8,26 | 5,52 3,52–7,52 2,99–8,05 | 10,99 6,78–15,20 5,67–16,31 | 43% 45% |
| Posesie % | 49,26 42,47–56,05 40,80–57,72 | 51,43 44,65–58,22 42,98–59,89 | — | 43% 53% |
| Pase | 425 357–492 339–510 | 449 383–515 365–533 | 874 740–1007 704–1043 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,14 64,11–72,17 62,81–73,46 | 76,96 72,63–81,28 71,32–82,59 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 11,09 8,25–13,93 7,49–14,68 | 12,69 9,75–15,64 9,00–16,39 | 23,78 18,00–29,56 16,50–31,07 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,01 | 2,03 0,93–3,12 0,65–3,41 | 3,57 1,32–5,82 0,73–6,41 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,71–2,81 0,44–3,07 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 4,02 1,84–6,19 1,28–6,75 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,67 2,23–5,10 1,84–5,49 | 3,23 1,68–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 6,90 3,91–9,89 3,09–10,70 | 49% 15% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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