Bundesliga·Etapa 26·
Bundesliga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,363,64sigur1,31–3,240,51–2,221,81–5,46mai sigur1,05–3,490,28–2,451,33–5,94
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,614,4811,09sigur4,75–8,472,74–6,237,49–14,70mai sigur4,26–8,962,28–6,696,53–15,65
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,2012,4830,69sigur14,28–22,138,92–16,0423,20–38,17mai sigur13,19–23,227,96–17,0021,15–40,22
Șuturi din careu
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,868,3821,24sigur9,92–15,805,70–11,0615,62–26,86mai sigur9,09–16,634,96–11,7914,05–28,43
Șuturi blocate
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,743,177,90sigur2,86–6,621,51–4,824,37–11,44mai sigur2,31–7,161,02–5,313,33–12,47
Cornere
64%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,534,8511,38sigur4,32–8,742,85–6,857,17–15,60mai sigur3,74–9,322,32–7,386,06–16,70
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7945,84sigur49,00–62,5839,05–52,62mai sigur47,33–64,2537,38–54,29
Pase
81%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție503396899sigur436–570329–462765–1032mai sigur417–588312–480729–1068
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,1772,21sigur71,14–79,2067,89–76,54mai sigur69,85–80,4966,58–77,85
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6311,8323,46sigur8,79–14,478,89–14,7817,68–29,24mai sigur8,04–15,228,14–15,5216,17–30,75
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,343,40sigur0,90–3,220,24–2,431,15–5,65mai sigur0,60–3,520,00–2,720,56–6,24
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,933,55sigur0,57–2,670,80–3,061,37–5,73mai sigur0,30–2,930,51–3,350,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
27%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,124,307,42sigur1,68–4,562,75–5,864,43–10,42mai sigur1,30–4,942,32–6,283,62–11,23
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,31–3,24 1,05–3,49 | 1,36 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 3,64 1,81–5,46 1,33–5,94 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,61 4,75–8,47 4,26–8,96 | 4,48 2,74–6,23 2,28–6,69 | 11,09 7,49–14,70 6,53–15,65 | 69% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 18,20 14,28–22,13 13,19–23,22 | 12,48 8,92–16,04 7,96–17,00 | 30,69 23,20–38,17 21,15–40,22 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,86 9,92–15,80 9,09–16,63 | 8,38 5,70–11,06 4,96–11,79 | 21,24 15,62–26,86 14,05–28,43 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,74 2,86–6,62 2,31–7,16 | 3,17 1,51–4,82 1,02–5,31 | 7,90 4,37–11,44 3,33–12,47 | 65% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,53 4,32–8,74 3,74–9,32 | 4,85 2,85–6,85 2,32–7,38 | 11,38 7,17–15,60 6,06–16,70 | 64% 26% |
| Posesie % | 55,79 49,00–62,58 47,33–64,25 | 45,84 39,05–52,62 37,38–54,29 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 503 436–570 417–588 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 81% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,17 71,14–79,20 69,85–80,49 | 72,21 67,89–76,54 66,58–77,85 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 11,63 8,79–14,47 8,04–15,22 | 11,83 8,89–14,78 8,14–15,52 | 23,46 17,68–29,24 16,17–30,75 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,06 0,90–3,22 0,60–3,52 | 1,34 0,24–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,40 1,15–5,65 0,56–6,24 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,30–2,93 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,55 1,37–5,73 0,82–6,29 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,12 1,68–4,56 1,30–4,94 | 4,30 2,75–5,86 2,32–6,28 | 7,42 4,43–10,42 3,62–11,23 | 27% 14% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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