Primeira Liga·Etapa 9·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
16%
19%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,982,183,16sigur0,01–1,951,32–3,031,34–4,98mai sigur0,00–2,201,10–3,260,86–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
18%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,625,899,51sigur1,75–5,484,15–7,645,90–13,11mai sigur1,26–5,973,68–8,104,95–14,07
Total șuturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3414,7727,11sigur8,42–16,2711,20–18,3319,62–34,60mai sigur7,33–17,3610,24–19,2917,57–36,65
Șuturi din careu
18%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,9810,2817,27sigur4,04–9,937,60–12,9611,64–22,89mai sigur3,21–10,766,87–13,7010,08–24,46
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,193,776,96sigur1,31–5,082,11–5,423,43–10,50mai sigur0,77–5,621,62–5,912,39–11,53
Cornere
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,115,819,92sigur1,90–6,333,81–7,815,71–14,13mai sigur1,33–6,903,27–8,344,60–15,24
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,7660,99sigur32,97–46,5554,21–67,78mai sigur31,30–48,2252,54–69,45
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție341536877sigur273–408470–603743–1011mai sigur255–426452–620708–1046
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1280,38sigur62,09–70,1576,06–84,71mai sigur60,80–71,4474,75–86,02
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7912,1226,91sigur11,95–17,639,18–15,0721,13–32,69mai sigur11,19–18,388,43–15,8219,62–34,20
Ofsaiduri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,763,16sigur0,24–2,560,66–2,850,91–5,41mai sigur0,00–2,860,38–3,140,32–6,00
Cartonașe galbene
41%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,202,154,35sigur1,15–3,251,03–3,282,17–6,53mai sigur0,88–3,510,73–3,571,62–7,09
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,100,23sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,290,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,420,00–0,86
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,632,586,21sigur2,20–5,071,02–4,143,22–9,21mai sigur1,81–5,460,60–4,562,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,98 0,01–1,95 0,00–2,20 | 2,18 1,32–3,03 1,10–3,26 | 3,16 1,34–4,98 0,86–5,46 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,62 1,75–5,48 1,26–5,97 | 5,89 4,15–7,64 3,68–8,10 | 9,51 5,90–13,11 4,95–14,07 | 18% 72% |
| Total șuturi | 12,34 8,42–16,27 7,33–17,36 | 14,77 11,20–18,33 10,24–19,29 | 27,11 19,62–34,60 17,57–36,65 | 29% 64% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,98 4,04–9,93 3,21–10,76 | 10,28 7,60–12,96 6,87–13,70 | 17,27 11,64–22,89 10,08–24,46 | 18% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,19 1,31–5,08 0,77–5,62 | 3,77 2,11–5,42 1,62–5,91 | 6,96 3,43–10,50 2,39–11,53 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,11 1,90–6,33 1,33–6,90 | 5,81 3,81–7,81 3,27–8,34 | 9,92 5,71–14,13 4,60–15,24 | 24% 65% |
| Posesie % | 39,76 32,97–46,55 31,30–48,22 | 60,99 54,21–67,78 52,54–69,45 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 341 273–408 255–426 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,12 62,09–70,15 60,80–71,44 | 80,38 76,06–84,71 74,75–86,02 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 14,79 11,95–17,63 11,19–18,38 | 12,12 9,18–15,07 8,43–15,82 | 26,91 21,13–32,69 19,62–34,20 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,40 0,24–2,56 0,00–2,86 | 1,76 0,66–2,85 0,38–3,14 | 3,16 0,91–5,41 0,32–6,00 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,20 1,15–3,25 0,88–3,51 | 2,15 1,03–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,35 2,17–6,53 1,62–7,09 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,63 2,20–5,07 1,81–5,46 | 2,58 1,02–4,14 0,60–4,56 | 6,21 3,22–9,21 2,41–10,02 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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