Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,480,763,23sigur1,51–3,440,00–1,611,41–5,06mai sigur1,26–3,700,00–1,840,93–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,642,799,44sigur4,78–8,511,05–4,545,83–13,04mai sigur4,29–9,000,59–5,004,88–14,00
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,548,9328,47sigur15,61–23,465,37–12,4920,98–35,95mai sigur14,52–24,554,41–13,4518,93–38,00
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,205,5418,73sigur10,25–16,142,86–8,2213,11–24,35mai sigur9,42–16,972,12–8,9511,54–25,92
Șuturi blocate
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,892,056,93sigur3,00–6,770,40–3,703,40–10,47mai sigur2,46–7,310,00–4,192,36–11,51
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,673,1510,82sigur5,46–9,881,15–5,156,60–15,03mai sigur4,88–10,460,61–5,685,50–16,14
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,3036,91sigur56,51–70,0930,12–43,69mai sigur54,84–71,7628,45–45,36
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție596345941sigur529–664278–411808–1075mai sigur511–682261–429772–1111
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,4269,25sigur77,39–85,4564,93–73,58mai sigur76,10–86,7463,62–74,89
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6614,1825,85sigur8,83–14,5011,24–17,1320,06–31,63mai sigur8,07–15,2610,49–17,8818,56–33,13
Ofsaiduri
58%
21%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,163,19sigur0,88–3,200,06–2,250,94–5,45mai sigur0,58–3,500,00–2,540,35–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
26%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,444,08sigur0,59–2,691,31–3,561,90–6,26mai sigur0,33–2,961,02–3,861,34–6,81
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,18sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,81
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,184,196,38sigur0,75–3,622,64–5,753,39–9,37mai sigur0,36–4,012,21–6,172,57–10,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,48 1,51–3,44 1,26–3,70 | 0,76 0,00–1,61 0,00–1,84 | 3,23 1,41–5,06 0,93–5,54 | 75% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,64 4,78–8,51 4,29–9,00 | 2,79 1,05–4,54 0,59–5,00 | 9,44 5,83–13,04 4,88–14,00 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 19,54 15,61–23,46 14,52–24,55 | 8,93 5,37–12,49 4,41–13,45 | 28,47 20,98–35,95 18,93–38,00 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,20 10,25–16,14 9,42–16,97 | 5,54 2,86–8,22 2,12–8,95 | 18,73 13,11–24,35 11,54–25,92 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,89 3,00–6,77 2,46–7,31 | 2,05 0,40–3,70 0,00–4,19 | 6,93 3,40–10,47 2,36–11,51 | 82% |
| Cornere | 7,67 5,46–9,88 4,88–10,46 | 3,15 1,15–5,15 0,61–5,68 | 10,82 6,60–15,03 5,50–16,14 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 63,30 56,51–70,09 54,84–71,76 | 36,91 30,12–43,69 28,45–45,36 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 596 529–664 511–682 | 345 278–411 261–429 | 941 808–1075 772–1111 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,42 77,39–85,45 76,10–86,74 | 69,25 64,93–73,58 63,62–74,89 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 11,66 8,83–14,50 8,07–15,26 | 14,18 11,24–17,13 10,49–17,88 | 25,85 20,06–31,63 18,56–33,13 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 1,16 0,06–2,25 0,00–2,54 | 3,19 0,94–5,45 0,35–6,04 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 2,44 1,31–3,56 1,02–3,86 | 4,08 1,90–6,26 1,34–6,81 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,18 0,75–3,62 0,36–4,01 | 4,19 2,64–5,75 2,21–6,17 | 6,38 3,39–9,37 2,57–10,18 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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