Primeira Liga·Etapa 9·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,970,732,71sigur1,01–2,940,00–1,590,88–4,53mai sigur0,75–3,190,00–1,820,41–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,272,698,96sigur4,41–8,140,94–4,435,36–12,57mai sigur3,92–8,630,48–4,894,40–13,52
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,478,4626,94sigur14,55–22,404,90–12,0319,45–34,42mai sigur13,46–23,493,94–12,9917,40–36,48
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,265,1416,40sigur8,32–14,202,46–7,8210,77–22,02mai sigur7,49–15,031,72–8,569,21–23,59
Șuturi blocate
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,472,236,70sigur2,59–6,350,58–3,883,17–10,24mai sigur2,05–6,900,09–4,382,13–11,27
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,973,1110,07sigur4,75–9,181,11–5,115,86–14,29mai sigur4,18–9,750,57–5,644,75–15,39
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,2740,69sigur52,48–66,0633,91–47,48mai sigur50,81–67,7332,24–49,15
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție495352847sigur428–562286–419713–981mai sigur410–580268–436678–1016
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,2967,01sigur69,26–77,3262,69–71,34mai sigur67,97–78,6161,38–72,65
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3812,8526,23sigur10,54–16,229,91–15,8020,45–32,02mai sigur9,79–16,979,16–16,5518,95–33,52
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,753,44sigur0,54–2,860,65–2,841,19–5,70mai sigur0,24–3,160,36–3,130,60–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,264,11sigur0,80–2,901,13–3,391,93–6,28mai sigur0,53–3,160,84–3,681,37–6,84
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,074,136,19sigur0,63–3,502,57–5,683,20–9,19mai sigur0,24–3,892,15–6,112,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,97 1,01–2,94 0,75–3,19 | 0,73 0,00–1,59 0,00–1,82 | 2,71 0,88–4,53 0,41–5,01 | 67% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,27 4,41–8,14 3,92–8,63 | 2,69 0,94–4,43 0,48–4,89 | 8,96 5,36–12,57 4,40–13,52 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,47 14,55–22,40 13,46–23,49 | 8,46 4,90–12,03 3,94–12,99 | 26,94 19,45–34,42 17,40–36,48 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,26 8,32–14,20 7,49–15,03 | 5,14 2,46–7,82 1,72–8,56 | 16,40 10,77–22,02 9,21–23,59 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,47 2,59–6,35 2,05–6,90 | 2,23 0,58–3,88 0,09–4,38 | 6,70 3,17–10,24 2,13–11,27 | 75% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,97 4,75–9,18 4,18–9,75 | 3,11 1,11–5,11 0,57–5,64 | 10,07 5,86–14,29 4,75–15,39 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 59,27 52,48–66,06 50,81–67,73 | 40,69 33,91–47,48 32,24–49,15 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 495 428–562 410–580 | 352 286–419 268–436 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,29 69,26–77,32 67,97–78,61 | 67,01 62,69–71,34 61,38–72,65 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 13,38 10,54–16,22 9,79–16,97 | 12,85 9,91–15,80 9,16–16,55 | 26,23 20,45–32,02 18,95–33,52 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,75 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,13 | 3,44 1,19–5,70 0,60–6,29 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 4,11 1,93–6,28 1,37–6,84 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,07 0,63–3,50 0,24–3,89 | 4,13 2,57–5,68 2,15–6,11 | 6,19 3,20–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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