Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
23%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,991,752,74sigur0,02–1,960,90–2,610,92–4,56mai sigur0,00–2,210,67–2,840,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
19%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,395,448,83sigur1,53–5,253,70–7,185,22–12,43mai sigur1,04–5,743,23–7,654,27–13,39
Total șuturi
14%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9416,0226,95sigur7,01–14,8612,46–19,5819,47–34,44mai sigur5,92–15,9511,50–20,5417,42–36,49
Șuturi din careu
13%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,1210,0116,13sigur3,18–9,067,33–12,6910,51–21,75mai sigur2,35–9,896,59–13,438,94–23,32
Șuturi blocate
27%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,796,52sigur0,84–4,612,14–5,442,98–10,05mai sigur0,30–5,151,65–5,941,95–11,09
Cornere
22%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,055,9710,02sigur1,84–6,273,97–7,975,81–14,23mai sigur1,27–6,843,43–8,504,70–15,34
Posesie %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,1856,33sigur36,39–49,9749,54–63,11mai sigur34,72–51,6447,87–64,78
Pase
24%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție380463843sigur313–448397–529710–977mai sigur295–466379–547674–1013
Precizie pase %
13%
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,1573,30sigur61,12–69,1868,98–77,63mai sigur59,82–70,4767,67–78,94
Faulturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6714,3627,03sigur9,83–15,5011,42–17,3121,25–32,81mai sigur9,07–16,2610,67–18,0619,74–34,32
Ofsaiduri
44%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,663,55sigur0,73–3,050,57–2,751,30–5,80mai sigur0,43–3,350,28–3,040,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,254,09sigur0,80–2,901,12–3,381,91–6,27mai sigur0,53–3,160,83–3,671,36–6,83
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,140,22sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,460,00–0,85
Parade portar
61%
15%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,602,395,99sigur2,16–5,030,84–3,953,00–8,98mai sigur1,77–5,420,41–4,372,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,96 0,00–2,21 | 1,75 0,90–2,61 0,67–2,84 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 21% 23% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,39 1,53–5,25 1,04–5,74 | 5,44 3,70–7,18 3,23–7,65 | 8,83 5,22–12,43 4,27–13,39 | 19% 70% |
| Total șuturi | 10,94 7,01–14,86 5,92–15,95 | 16,02 12,46–19,58 11,50–20,54 | 26,95 19,47–34,44 17,42–36,49 | 14% 81% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,12 3,18–9,06 2,35–9,89 | 10,01 7,33–12,69 6,59–13,43 | 16,13 10,51–21,75 8,94–23,32 | 13% 80% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,72 0,84–4,61 0,30–5,15 | 3,79 2,14–5,44 1,65–5,94 | 6,52 2,98–10,05 1,95–11,09 | 27% 15% 59% |
| Cornere | 4,05 1,84–6,27 1,27–6,84 | 5,97 3,97–7,97 3,43–8,50 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 22% 67% |
| Posesie % | 43,18 36,39–49,97 34,72–51,64 | 56,33 49,54–63,11 47,87–64,78 | — | 20% 76% |
| Pase | 380 313–448 295–466 | 463 397–529 379–547 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 24% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,15 61,12–69,18 59,82–70,47 | 73,30 68,98–77,63 67,67–78,94 | — | 13% 84% |
| Faulturi | 12,67 9,83–15,50 9,07–16,26 | 14,36 11,42–17,31 10,67–18,06 | 27,03 21,25–32,81 19,74–34,32 | 34% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,43–3,35 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,55 1,30–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 2,25 1,12–3,38 0,83–3,67 | 4,09 1,91–6,27 1,36–6,83 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,60 2,16–5,03 1,77–5,42 | 2,39 0,84–3,95 0,41–4,37 | 5,99 3,00–8,98 2,19–9,80 | 61% 15% 24% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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