Primeira Liga·Etapa 11·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
28%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,092,33sigur0,27–2,210,24–1,950,51–4,15mai sigur0,02–2,460,01–2,180,03–4,63
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,123,527,64sigur2,25–5,981,78–5,264,03–11,24mai sigur1,76–6,471,31–5,733,08–12,20
Total șuturi
77%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3110,2424,55sigur10,39–18,246,67–13,8017,06–32,04mai sigur9,29–19,335,72–14,7615,01–34,09
Șuturi din careu
58%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,236,9115,15sigur5,29–11,184,23–9,599,52–20,77mai sigur4,46–12,003,50–10,337,96–22,34
Șuturi blocate
63%
15%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,642,295,93sigur1,76–5,520,64–3,942,39–9,46mai sigur1,21–6,060,14–4,431,35–10,50
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,394,019,41sigur3,18–7,612,01–6,015,20–13,62mai sigur2,61–8,181,48–6,554,09–14,73
Posesie %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,3549,86sigur42,56–56,1443,07–56,64mai sigur40,89–57,8141,40–58,31
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție428434862sigur360–495368–501728–996mai sigur342–513350–518693–1031
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5172,03sigur65,48–73,5367,70–76,35mai sigur64,18–74,8366,39–77,66
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8814,1727,05sigur10,04–15,7211,23–17,1221,27–32,84mai sigur9,29–16,4710,48–17,8719,77–34,34
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,643,23sigur0,43–2,750,54–2,730,98–5,48mai sigur0,13–3,060,25–3,020,39–6,07
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,662,263,92sigur0,61–2,711,13–3,391,74–6,10mai sigur0,34–2,980,84–3,681,19–6,66
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
18%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,292,755,04sigur0,85–3,731,20–4,312,05–8,04mai sigur0,47–4,110,77–4,741,24–8,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,09 0,24–1,95 0,01–2,18 | 2,33 0,51–4,15 0,03–4,63 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,12 2,25–5,98 1,76–6,47 | 3,52 1,78–5,26 1,31–5,73 | 7,64 4,03–11,24 3,08–12,20 | 51% 14% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 14,31 10,39–18,24 9,29–19,33 | 10,24 6,67–13,80 5,72–14,76 | 24,55 17,06–32,04 15,01–34,09 | 77% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,23 5,29–11,18 4,46–12,00 | 6,91 4,23–9,59 3,50–10,33 | 15,15 9,52–20,77 7,96–22,34 | 58% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,64 1,76–5,52 1,21–6,06 | 2,29 0,64–3,94 0,14–4,43 | 5,93 2,39–9,46 1,35–10,50 | 63% 15% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,39 3,18–7,61 2,61–8,18 | 4,01 2,01–6,01 1,48–6,55 | 9,41 5,20–13,62 4,09–14,73 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 49,35 42,56–56,14 40,89–57,81 | 49,86 43,07–56,64 41,40–58,31 | — | 46% 49% |
| Pase | 428 360–495 342–513 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 862 728–996 693–1031 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,51 65,48–73,53 64,18–74,83 | 72,03 67,70–76,35 66,39–77,66 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 12,88 10,04–15,72 9,29–16,47 | 14,17 11,23–17,12 10,48–17,87 | 27,05 21,27–32,84 19,77–34,34 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,06 | 1,64 0,54–2,73 0,25–3,02 | 3,23 0,98–5,48 0,39–6,07 | 37% 23% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,34–2,98 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 3,92 1,74–6,10 1,19–6,66 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,29 0,85–3,73 0,47–4,11 | 2,75 1,20–4,31 0,77–4,74 | 5,04 2,05–8,04 1,24–8,85 | 33% 18% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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