Primeira Liga·Etapa 28·
Primeira Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
27%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,212,55sigur0,37–2,310,36–2,070,73–4,37mai sigur0,12–2,560,13–2,300,25–4,85
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,123,767,89sigur2,26–5,982,02–5,514,28–11,49mai sigur1,77–6,471,56–5,973,32–12,45
Total șuturi
62%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6511,5625,21sigur9,73–17,588,00–15,1217,73–32,70mai sigur8,64–18,677,04–16,0815,67–34,75
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,497,4415,93sigur5,55–11,434,76–10,1210,31–21,55mai sigur4,72–12,264,02–10,868,74–23,12
Șuturi blocate
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,392,966,35sigur1,51–5,271,31–4,622,82–9,89mai sigur0,97–5,820,82–5,111,78–10,92
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,484,229,70sigur3,27–7,692,22–6,225,49–13,91mai sigur2,69–8,271,68–6,754,38–15,02
Posesie %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,1546,41sigur47,36–60,9439,63–53,20mai sigur45,69–62,6137,96–54,87
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție487409896sigur420–554342–475762–1029mai sigur401–572325–493726–1065
Precizie pase %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4970,73sigur67,46–75,5266,41–75,05mai sigur66,17–76,8165,10–76,36
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6113,1326,74sigur10,77–16,4510,19–16,0820,96–32,52mai sigur10,02–17,209,44–16,8319,46–34,03
Ofsaiduri
52%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,263,14sigur0,72–3,040,17–2,360,89–5,40mai sigur0,42–3,340,00–2,650,30–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
44%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,914,05sigur1,09–3,180,78–3,041,87–6,22mai sigur0,82–3,450,49–3,331,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
38%
18%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,592,765,35sigur1,15–4,021,21–4,322,36–8,34mai sigur0,76–4,410,78–4,741,55–9,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 2,55 0,73–4,37 0,25–4,85 | 40% 27% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,12 2,26–5,98 1,77–6,47 | 3,76 2,02–5,51 1,56–5,97 | 7,89 4,28–11,49 3,32–12,45 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,65 9,73–17,58 8,64–18,67 | 11,56 8,00–15,12 7,04–16,08 | 25,21 17,73–32,70 15,67–34,75 | 62% 30% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,49 5,55–11,43 4,72–12,26 | 7,44 4,76–10,12 4,02–10,86 | 15,93 10,31–21,55 8,74–23,12 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,39 1,51–5,27 0,97–5,82 | 2,96 1,31–4,62 0,82–5,11 | 6,35 2,82–9,89 1,78–10,92 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,48 3,27–7,69 2,69–8,27 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,68–6,75 | 9,70 5,49–13,91 4,38–15,02 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,15 47,36–60,94 45,69–62,61 | 46,41 39,63–53,20 37,96–54,87 | — | 65% 30% |
| Pase | 487 420–554 401–572 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,49 67,46–75,52 66,17–76,81 | 70,73 66,41–75,05 65,10–76,36 | — | 51% 44% |
| Faulturi | 13,61 10,77–16,45 10,02–17,20 | 13,13 10,19–16,08 9,44–16,83 | 26,74 20,96–32,52 19,46–34,03 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,26 0,17–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 3,14 0,89–5,40 0,30–5,99 | 52% 23% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,09–3,18 0,82–3,45 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 4,05 1,87–6,22 1,31–6,78 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 2,76 1,21–4,32 0,78–4,74 | 5,35 2,36–8,34 1,55–9,16 | 38% 18% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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