Süper Lig·Etapa 7·
Süper Lig·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
25%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,492,85sigur0,39–2,320,64–2,351,02–4,67mai sigur0,14–2,580,41–2,570,54–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,564,469,01sigur2,69–6,422,71–6,205,41–12,62mai sigur2,20–6,912,25–6,664,45–13,57
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3513,0726,42sigur9,43–17,289,51–16,6318,94–33,91mai sigur8,33–18,378,55–17,5916,88–35,96
Șuturi din careu
45%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,308,3316,63sigur5,36–11,245,65–11,0111,00–22,25mai sigur4,53–12,074,91–11,759,44–23,82
Șuturi blocate
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,353,106,45sigur1,47–5,241,45–4,752,92–9,99mai sigur0,93–5,780,96–5,251,88–11,02
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,724,549,27sigur2,51–6,942,54–6,545,05–13,48mai sigur1,94–7,512,01–7,083,95–14,59
Posesie %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,7153,89sigur38,92–52,5047,11–60,68mai sigur37,25–54,1745,44–62,35
Pase
31%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție390449839sigur323–457383–516706–973mai sigur304–475365–533670–1009
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,8884,25sigur76,85–84,9179,92–88,57mai sigur75,56–86,2078,62–89,88
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3911,4923,88sigur9,56–15,238,54–14,4318,10–29,66mai sigur8,80–15,997,79–15,1816,59–31,17
Ofsaiduri
61%
18%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,611,544,15sigur1,45–3,770,44–2,631,89–6,40mai sigur1,15–4,070,15–2,921,30–6,99
Cartonașe galbene
39%
19%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,272,334,60sigur1,22–3,321,20–3,462,42–6,78mai sigur0,95–3,590,91–3,751,87–7,34
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,150,110,26sigur0,00–0,310,00–0,300,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,460,00–0,430,00–0,89
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,033,106,14sigur1,60–4,471,55–4,663,15–9,13mai sigur1,21–4,861,12–5,082,33–9,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,58 | 1,49 0,64–2,35 0,41–2,57 | 2,85 1,02–4,67 0,54–5,15 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,69–6,42 2,20–6,91 | 4,46 2,71–6,20 2,25–6,66 | 9,01 5,41–12,62 4,45–13,57 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,35 9,43–17,28 8,33–18,37 | 13,07 9,51–16,63 8,55–17,59 | 26,42 18,94–33,91 16,88–35,96 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,30 5,36–11,24 4,53–12,07 | 8,33 5,65–11,01 4,91–11,75 | 16,63 11,00–22,25 9,44–23,82 | 45% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,35 1,47–5,24 0,93–5,78 | 3,10 1,45–4,75 0,96–5,25 | 6,45 2,92–9,99 1,88–11,02 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Cornere | 4,72 2,51–6,94 1,94–7,51 | 4,54 2,54–6,54 2,01–7,08 | 9,27 5,05–13,48 3,95–14,59 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 45,71 38,92–52,50 37,25–54,17 | 53,89 47,11–60,68 45,44–62,35 | — | 29% 66% |
| Pase | 390 323–457 304–475 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 31% 69% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,88 76,85–84,91 75,56–86,20 | 84,25 79,92–88,57 78,62–89,88 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,56–15,23 8,80–15,99 | 11,49 8,54–14,43 7,79–15,18 | 23,88 18,10–29,66 16,59–31,17 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,61 1,45–3,77 1,15–4,07 | 1,54 0,44–2,63 0,15–2,92 | 4,15 1,89–6,40 1,30–6,99 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,27 1,22–3,32 0,95–3,59 | 2,33 1,20–3,46 0,91–3,75 | 4,60 2,42–6,78 1,87–7,34 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,15 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,46 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,03 1,60–4,47 1,21–4,86 | 3,10 1,55–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 6,14 3,15–9,13 2,33–9,94 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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