Süper Lig·Etapa 24·
Süper Lig·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
24%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,072,83sigur0,79–2,720,22–1,931,00–4,65mai sigur0,54–2,970,00–2,150,52–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,263,588,85sigur3,40–7,131,84–5,325,24–12,45mai sigur2,91–7,621,37–5,794,29–13,41
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9711,1426,10sigur11,04–18,897,57–14,7018,61–33,59mai sigur9,95–19,986,61–15,6616,56–35,64
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,027,1417,16sigur7,08–12,964,45–9,8211,53–22,78mai sigur6,25–13,793,72–10,559,97–24,35
Șuturi blocate
63%
14%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,042,696,74sigur2,16–5,921,04–4,353,20–10,27mai sigur1,62–6,470,55–4,842,17–11,31
Cornere
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,363,689,04sigur3,15–7,571,68–5,684,83–13,25mai sigur2,57–8,151,15–6,213,72–14,36
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,9744,26sigur49,18–62,7637,47–51,04mai sigur47,51–64,4335,80–52,71
Pase
80%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție486383869sigur419–553317–449735–1003mai sigur401–571299–467700–1038
Precizie pase %
68%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție85,5181,33sigur81,48–89,5477,00–85,65mai sigur80,18–90,8375,69–86,96
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5813,4925,08sigur8,75–14,4210,55–16,4419,29–30,86mai sigur7,99–15,189,80–17,1917,79–32,36
Ofsaiduri
22%
19%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,473,94sigur0,31–2,631,38–3,561,68–6,19mai sigur0,01–2,931,09–3,851,09–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
33%
19%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,504,60sigur1,05–3,141,37–3,632,42–6,78mai sigur0,78–3,411,08–3,921,86–7,33
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,150,26sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,340,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,470,00–0,89
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,415,98sigur1,13–4,001,85–4,972,98–8,97mai sigur0,74–4,391,43–5,392,17–9,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,75 0,79–2,72 0,54–2,97 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,15 | 2,83 1,00–4,65 0,52–5,13 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,26 3,40–7,13 2,91–7,62 | 3,58 1,84–5,32 1,37–5,79 | 8,85 5,24–12,45 4,29–13,41 | 65% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 14,97 11,04–18,89 9,95–19,98 | 11,14 7,57–14,70 6,61–15,66 | 26,10 18,61–33,59 16,56–35,64 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,02 7,08–12,96 6,25–13,79 | 7,14 4,45–9,82 3,72–10,55 | 17,16 11,53–22,78 9,97–24,35 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,04 2,16–5,92 1,62–6,47 | 2,69 1,04–4,35 0,55–4,84 | 6,74 3,20–10,27 2,17–11,31 | 63% 14% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,36 3,15–7,57 2,57–8,15 | 3,68 1,68–5,68 1,15–6,21 | 9,04 4,83–13,25 3,72–14,36 | 65% 23% |
| Posesie % | 55,97 49,18–62,76 47,51–64,43 | 44,26 37,47–51,04 35,80–52,71 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 486 419–553 401–571 | 383 317–449 299–467 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 80% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 85,51 81,48–89,54 80,18–90,83 | 81,33 77,00–85,65 75,69–86,96 | — | 68% 27% |
| Faulturi | 11,58 8,75–14,42 7,99–15,18 | 13,49 10,55–16,44 9,80–17,19 | 25,08 19,29–30,86 17,79–32,36 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 2,47 1,38–3,56 1,09–3,85 | 3,94 1,68–6,19 1,09–6,78 | 22% 19% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,05–3,14 0,78–3,41 | 2,50 1,37–3,63 1,08–3,92 | 4,60 2,42–6,78 1,86–7,33 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,26 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,89 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,13–4,00 0,74–4,39 | 3,41 1,85–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 5,98 2,98–8,97 2,17–9,78 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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