Süper Lig·Etapa 8·
Süper Lig·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
20%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,100,913,01sigur1,13–3,070,05–1,761,18–4,83mai sigur0,88–3,320,00–1,990,70–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,683,389,06sigur3,82–7,541,63–5,125,45–12,66mai sigur3,33–8,031,17–5,584,50–13,62
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,939,7425,67sigur12,00–19,856,17–13,3018,18–33,15mai sigur10,91–20,955,21–14,2616,13–35,20
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,316,0416,35sigur7,37–13,263,36–8,7210,73–21,97mai sigur6,54–14,082,62–9,459,16–23,54
Șuturi blocate
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,322,506,82sigur2,44–6,200,84–4,153,28–10,35mai sigur1,89–6,740,35–4,642,25–11,39
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,833,669,49sigur3,62–8,041,66–5,665,27–13,70mai sigur3,04–8,621,12–6,194,16–14,81
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,6541,64sigur51,86–65,4434,85–48,42mai sigur50,19–67,1133,18–50,10
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție514358872sigur447–582291–424738–1006mai sigur429–600274–442703–1041
Precizie pase %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție86,8480,43sigur82,81–90,8676,11–84,76mai sigur81,51–92,1674,80–86,07
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1612,6925,84sigur10,32–15,999,74–15,6320,06–31,62mai sigur9,56–16,758,99–16,3818,55–33,13
Ofsaiduri
17%
17%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,724,06sigur0,18–2,501,62–3,811,80–6,31mai sigur0,00–2,801,34–4,101,21–6,90
Cartonașe galbene
30%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,524,44sigur0,88–2,971,39–3,652,26–6,62mai sigur0,61–3,241,10–3,941,71–7,18
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,140,23sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,330,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,460,00–0,86
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,706,04sigur0,90–3,782,14–5,263,05–9,03mai sigur0,52–4,161,72–5,682,24–9,84
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,10 1,13–3,07 0,88–3,32 | 0,91 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 3,01 1,18–4,83 0,70–5,31 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,68 3,82–7,54 3,33–8,03 | 3,38 1,63–5,12 1,17–5,58 | 9,06 5,45–12,66 4,50–13,62 | 73% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 15,93 12,00–19,85 10,91–20,95 | 9,74 6,17–13,30 5,21–14,26 | 25,67 18,18–33,15 16,13–35,20 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,31 7,37–13,26 6,54–14,08 | 6,04 3,36–8,72 2,62–9,45 | 16,35 10,73–21,97 9,16–23,54 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,32 2,44–6,20 1,89–6,74 | 2,50 0,84–4,15 0,35–4,64 | 6,82 3,28–10,35 2,25–11,39 | 69% 18% |
| Cornere | 5,83 3,62–8,04 3,04–8,62 | 3,66 1,66–5,66 1,12–6,19 | 9,49 5,27–13,70 4,16–14,81 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 58,65 51,86–65,44 50,19–67,11 | 41,64 34,85–48,42 33,18–50,10 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 514 447–582 429–600 | 358 291–424 274–442 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 86,84 82,81–90,86 81,51–92,16 | 80,43 76,11–84,76 74,80–86,07 | — | 78% 19% |
| Faulturi | 13,16 10,32–15,99 9,56–16,75 | 12,69 9,74–15,63 8,99–16,38 | 25,84 20,06–31,62 18,55–33,13 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,34 0,18–2,50 0,00–2,80 | 2,72 1,62–3,81 1,34–4,10 | 4,06 1,80–6,31 1,21–6,90 | 17% 17% 67% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,88–2,97 0,61–3,24 | 2,52 1,39–3,65 1,10–3,94 | 4,44 2,26–6,62 1,71–7,18 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,90–3,78 0,52–4,16 | 3,70 2,14–5,26 1,72–5,68 | 6,04 3,05–9,03 2,24–9,84 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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